ABC 33/40 E-Forecast
ABC 33/40 E-FORECAST
Afternoon Edition For Saturday June 5, 2004
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GOOD AFTERNOON! Watching the radar carefully on this Saturday for
any unwanted showers to pop up like dandelions in a beautifully manicured
lawn. But are they really unwanted? If you are at the lake, probably so.
If you are listening to the swish-swish of sprinklers in your yard, you
probably wouldn't mind. If you are a weather forecaster who promised zero
rain chances today, you would just as soon leave them as take them. The RUC
model hinted at some dandelions, er, showers over western sections of the
state this afternoon. Sure enough, echoes were showing up on radar over
Perry and Dallas Counties by late morning. But warm air aloft is
suppressing shower development this afternoon, and rain has been limited.
THE FORECAST: Any showers and storms that develop over the state
this afternoon will dissipate early this evening, leaving mostly fair skies.
The stationary front over South Alabama will come north as a warm front,
increasing humidity levels and giving us more scattered showers and storms
on Sunday afternoon and evening. Our rain chances will remain elevated on
Monday as a disturbance passes over the state.
Then, the typical summertime pattern of diurnal showers and
thunderstorms will prevail as Alabama continues under influence of the
Bermuda High. Get used to it. It will be the weather pattern du jour for
the upcoming week. The GFS model hints are increasing rain chances as we
head toward Friday and Saturday. The morning run today even tries to
develop a low in the Gulf that heads towards Florida's Big Bend area next
weekend. In any case, we may deal with better rain chances by the weekend.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT'S AMAZING BOW ECHO: I flew into Jacksonville,
Florida Wednesday evening, where a pretty good storm was raging on my
arrival. We had to wait for our luggage to be unloaded because the
lightning was so severe the workers could not go on the ramp. I fired up my
computer and could see the storm right over us. Sure enough, a severe
thunderstorm watch and warning was in effect. But the amazing thing on the
SPC convective watch and warning map was the central part of the country.
It was lit up like a Christmas tree with literally dozens of severe
thunderstorm warnings all in a row from southwestern Oklahoma to
southwestern Arkansas.
It had to be one of the biggest bow echoes ever. It started out in
central Oklahoma and raced to the south and southeast at over 40 mph. By 10
p.m., it was over 350 miles long, stretching all the way from near Eldorado,
AR to near Alexandria, LA to south of Tyler, TX and finally ended near Fort
Worth. There were numerous reports of winds to 80 mph along with
significant wind damage. Several PDS (Particularly Dangerous Situation)
Severe Thunderstorm Watches were issued. Countless Severe Thunderstorm,
Flash Flood and even Tornado Warnings were issued by NWS offices from Dodge
City and Goodland, Kansas to Mobile, Alabama. By Thursday morning, the long
lived feature was still charging across southern Alabama and the Florida
Panhandle.
Bill Murray
billmurray@worldnet.att.net
ABC 33/40 7 Day Planner: http://abc3340.com/weather/7day.hrb
ABC 33/40 Weathertalk: http://beta.abc3340.com/weather/weathertalk.hrb
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TONIGHT
Partly cloudy skies.
Morning Low 67
WIND: Light N
SUNDAY
Partly sunny, warm and more humid with scattered shower. Rain chances
continue overnight.
Morning Low 67 Afternoon High 85
WIND: S 5-10
MONDAY
Mostly cloudy with a good chance of showers and storms, especially during
morning.
Morning Low 69 Afternoon High 84
WIND: SW 6-12
TUESDAY
Partly cloudy with a chance of PM showers and storms.
Morning Low 69 Afternoon High 85
WIND: SW 6-12
WEDNESDAY
Partly cloudy with scattered afternoon and evening storms.
Morning Low 69 Afternoon High 86
WIND: SW 6-12
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