ABC 33/40 E-Forecast

ABC 33/40 E-FORECAST
Afternoon Edition For Wednesday February 10, 2010
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...Stubborn Ole Man Winter...

SNOW IN OUR FUTURE: We are headed toward a risk of a snow event in Alabama, but that is still two days away and we can better define that by tomorrow morning. The key to the snow is a low-pressure area that will move across the northern Gulf of Mexico. The exact track will determine how much moisture is pumped inland and how much snow and where it will be. The low should be just off the Texas coast by late tomorrow and over the north/central Gulf by Friday. By Saturday morning, it will be about 100 miles east of Charleston. This is based on early morning model runs.

It is simply too early to be very comfortable forecasting snow amounts. We think, for the I-20 corridor including the Birmingham-Tuscaloosa-Anniston area) the accumulation will be light, less than an inch, but maybe enough to cover the ground. As you go southward, there is a better chance of accumulating snow with maybe 1 inch from just south of Birmingham, as far south as Auburn. The best chance will be in places like Montgomery southward. There could be a few spots of 1 to 3 inches. We want to express a lot of caution in this. If the low-pressure area were to change its course by even 25 or 30 miles, it could change those amounts.

Here in central Alabama, the timeframe on the snow will be mainly during the morning, but most of it over by late afternoon. Over the north part of the state, there may be only a dusting.

To our west, the NWS/Jackson has posted a Winter Storm Watch for South Mississippi including the Jackson-Meridian area.

ANY WARMTH IN OUR FUTURE: Not really, although there will be some moderating temperatures by Saturday afternoon reaching the mid to upper 40s. The barn door is still open to the Upper Midwest where we are getting occasional invasions of arctic air. A fresh supply of that will be inviting itself down into Alabama over the weekend, especially on Monday. High temperatures on Monday will struggle to reach the middle 30s. Another hard freeze for Tuesday morning.

STORM ALERT 2010: The next program is tomorrow night at 7:00 p.m. at the Bevill State Community College in Sumiton. That is in the east edge of Walker County. A week later, it is in Moundville at Hale County High School. That is in the north edge of the county 6 miles north of Havana Junction.

AROUND THE USA: A horrible, horrible winter for many areas. The USA Snow Survey this morning shows 63.3% of the lower 48 under a blanket of snow. If you were to add the hundreds of snow reports together and divide, you would find an average depth of 8 inches. That is incredible. The Washington area is closing in on having the most snow in any winter and they have a very long data base—same story for Baltimore. A Blizzard Warning for New York City. The mayor has ordered hundreds of snow removal vehicles to clear 6,300 miles of NYC streets.

MY TINY CORNER OF THE WORLD: Out very early with Little Miss Molly this morning and even I, the warmest nature guy north of the equator, got cold. It was in the low 20s with a brisk wind. For the first time ever, I saw Molly raise one of her paws off the ground any time she stopped to sniff. The ground was frozen solid. The majority owner had put two sweaters on her. As soon as she got home from the Argo Animal Clinic last night, (after having her teeth cleaned) she walked in the living area and immediately grabbed a ball to play with. She had gone all day without a game and she had gone 18 hours without a drop of water or food. She ate like James Spann would in his favourite barbecue place in Billingsley—almost sucking the food in. Life goes on.

J.B. Elliott
jb.elliott@theweathercompany.com

ABC 33/40 7 Day Planner: http://cfc.abc3340.com/abc3340/7day.cfm
ABC 33/40 Weather Blog: http://www.alabamawx.com

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TONIGHT
Fair and cold.
Morning Low 24
WIND: NW 5-10

THURSDAY
Increasing cloudiness and cold.
Morning Low 24 Afternoon High 44
WIND: N 6-12

FRIDAY
Cloudy, windy and cold with occasional snow. Some accumulation, but a better chance south of Birmingham.
Morning Low 28 Afternoon High 37
WIND: E 12-25

SATURDAY
Partly sunny. A cold morning.
Morning Low 25 Afternoon High 47
WIND: N 6-12

SUNDAY
Mostly cloudy and windy. A chance of rain.
Morning Low 28 Afternoon High 42
WIND: W 10-20

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Tonight on ABC 33/40:

6:00pm ABC 33/40 News
6:30pm Wheel of Fortune
7:00pm Charlie Brown Valentine
7:30pm The Middle
8:00pm Modern Family
8:30pm Cougar Town
9:00pm Ugly Betty
10:00pm ABC 33/40 News

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