ABC 33/40 E-Forecast

ABC 33/40 E-FORECAST
Morning Edition For Monday February 8, 2010
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UAB vs. Marshall
Saturday - February 13 - 7:00 p.m. - Bartow Arena
Join the Blazers for Youth Basketball League Night!
All youth basketball teams and their families are invited to Youth Basketball League Night
as the UAB men's basketball team takes on Marshall in a key Conference USA matchup.
Pre-ordered tickets for this event are available online for only $9 (typically $15). Additionally,
teams that order their tickets in advance can have a photo opportunity on the court after the game!
To order, click http://tinyurl.com/ybw9ehz
And type in this promo code: Hoops

To receive photo instructions, or for more information on UAB Basketball group experiences,
call (205) 934-6633
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...Rain Returns Tonight...

I knew better than to believe the models that insisted on clearing during the day Sunday. It seems lately that the models have been way to fast in forecasting clearing in the wake of low pressure systems. The thick stratocumulus cloud deck and cold air advection wreaked havoc on temperature forecasts as well, holding readings in the middle 30s across Central Alabama.

SUNSHINE TO RETURN TODAY: The sun will make a return appearance today. At least for a little while. At least we think it will. It had better hurry, because clouds will be thickening again tonight in advance of our next storm system. Highs today should make the middle 50s across the area.

RAIN TONIGHT/TUESDAY: By tonight, low pressure will be forming over Louisiana. Rain will move into the state late tonight. Rainfall amounts will average one half to three quarters of an inch. As the rain ends from the west during the day Tuesday, colder air will follow. As temperatures fall, there could be a brief changeover to snow before the precipitation ends completely. No problems are anticipated. Temperatures Tuesday night will fall into the lower and middle 20s. Wednesday will feature clearing skies, but with cold air advection occurring on the back of a strong northwesterly wind, the mercury will struggle to get out of the 30s.

LATE WEEK SYSTEM: Wednesday night will be cold as well, with lows dropping well below freezing again. By Thursday morning, low pressure will be forming over the western Gulf of Mexico. This low will move northeast spreading precipitation back into the state late Thursday night or Friday morning. It is still up in the air as to whether it will be rain or snow, with lots of model disagreement. Every solution from a significant snow over the northern half of the state, to nearly no precipitation across Central Alabama, to just a cold rain is on the table. As we get closer to the event, we will hopefully see some model consensus. Stay tuned.

WEATHERBRAINS: Tonight, Dave Freeman from KSN in Wichita will join the show as the Guest WeatherBrain. He will certainly have some stories to tell. He also is a leader in leveraging social science in making weather forecasts better. It will be an interesting discussion Listen to the show for free at www.WeatherBrains.com or subscribe on iTunes. You can also follow us on Twitter @wxhistorian.

MAKING OUR FORECASTS MORE EFFECTIVE: We'd like your input on how we can make forecasts more effective for you. Please take a moment to read the blog post today about what you would like to see in your forecasts and respond with your comments. Go to w http://www.alabamawx.com/?p=26538 to read and respond.

ON THIS DATE IN 2002: A fast moving cold front brought high winds and a snow to the mountains around Salt Lake City as the 2002 Olympic Winter Games were getting underway. Wind gusts of up to 71 mph caused problems for Ski Jumping, and the competition was postponed. Follow my weather history tweets on Twitter. I am @ wxhistorian.

Bill Murray
bill.murray@theweathercompany.com

ABC 33/40 7 Day Planner: http://cfc.abc3340.com/abc3340/7day.cfm
ABC 33/40 Weather Blog: http://www.alabamawx.com

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TODAY
Sunshine returns. Increasing clouds with a chance of rain Monday night.
Afternoon High 54
WIND: SE 6-12

TUESDAY
Rain likely, mainly during morning. Becoming windy a few snow flurries during afternoon and evening.
Morning Low 43 Afternoon High 49
WIND: W/NW 8-18

WEDNESDAY
Clearing, breezy and cold.
Morning Low 24 Afternoon High 38
WIND: NW 6-14

THURSDAY
Increasing clouds. Chance of rain or snow by morning.
Morning Low 24 Afternoon High 44
WIND: NE 5-12

FRIDAY
Chance of rain or snow.
Morning Low 30 Afternoon High 39
WIND: NE 6-14

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