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Sunday, January 03, 2010

ABC 33/40 E-Forecast

ABC 33/40 E-FORECAST
Afternoon Edition For Sunday January 3, 2010
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...Brrr!...

We continue to herald the extremely dangerous cold that is impacting Alabama early in 2010. As James indicated in a blog post this morning, in terms of consecutive days with overnight minimum temperatures, the cold outbreak could rival some of the great ones of all time in Alabama. Throw in a Thursday potential wintry precipitation event, and this could become a historic event.

FIRE WEATHER WARNING: Hard to think about wildfires during extreme cold, but the threat is very real. Extremely low humidities, drier vegetation and a persistent northwest breeze means an elevated wildfire threat. Impact? Outdoor burning should be avoided, and special care should be taken with any potential ignition sources outdoors this afternoon.

HARD FREEZE TONIGHT: Temperatures will fall well into the teens across a wide part of North and Central Alabama tonight. Check antifreeze levels, wrap pipes, check on pets, family and neighbors.

PREPARATION: Weather forecasts are not just predictions of the state of the atmosphere at some future point in time. They are aids to help you in making weather-related decisions. We will do our best to give you the forecast from the best scientific tools available as well as years of Alabama weather forecasting experience, all the while keeping in mind the uncertainty of the state of the science and attempting to convey the risk associated with the expected weather conditions. All that said, you need to think about how the extended period of lows in the teens and highs barely making freezing for up to two weeks could impact you, your family, your friends, your neighbors, your pets, your property and your business. We know all too well that there will be a number of deaths in house fires over the next two weeks as people try to stay warm with dangerous heating devices. Check on elderly family and friends to see they are safe.

COLD. SNOW? The intense cold will continue as cold air continues to funnel into Alabama for the next several days. See the forecast for lows and highs. A strong upper disturbance will swing out of the Rockies on Wednesday. It will undoubtedly bring some of its own moisture along, but if it taps some Gulf moisture as it is likely to do, we may see a significant snow across North and Central Alabama. Being specific about accumulations right now is just a best guess from the latest data, but 3-5 inches of snow may fall in some places. It will be followed by some of the most bitter air we have see in quite some time with single digits or even lows near zero by next weekend.

WEATHERBRAINS: Tuesday, we will speak with Hannah Bayman of The British Broadcasting Corporation. She is a Weather Presenter in Cumbria and the northern part of Britain. Get daily updates on the show on Twitter @weatherbrains.

ON THIS DATE IN 1997: Europe's worst cold in 30 years continued to grip the continent for the eleventh consecutive day. Over 200 deaths were blamed on the cold temperatures which dropped to -15F in Gardelegen Germany. Parts of the Thames River in England froze for the first time since the end of World War II. Follow my daily weather history tweets on Twitter: www.twitter.com/wxhistorian.

Bill Murray
bill@integralhospitality.com

ABC 33/40 7 Day Planner: http://cfc.abc3340.com/abc3340/7day.cfm
ABC 33/40 Weather Blog: http://www.alabamawx.com

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TONIGHT
Clear and very cold with a hard freeze tonight.
Morning Low 20
WIND: N 7-14

MONDAY
Sunny and even colder.
Morning Low 15 Afternoon High 33
WIND: N/NW 8-18

TUESDAY
Clear and very cold.
Morning Low 13 Afternoon High 34
WIND: NW 7-14

WEDNESDAY
Mostly sunny. A tad warmer.
Morning Low 17 Afternoon High 38
WIND: E/SE 6-12

THURSDAY
A good chance of snow.
Morning Low 27 Afternoon High 34
WIND: NW 5-15

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Tonight on ABC 33/40:

5:00pm ABC3340 News
5:30pm ABC World News
6:00pm AFV
7:00pm Extreme Makeover
8:00pm Desperate Housevives
9:00pm Brothers and Sisters
10:00pm ABC3340 News
10:35pm The Zone

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