ABC 33/40 E-Forecast

ABC 33/40 E-FORECAST
Afternoon Edition For Sunday January 24, 2010
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...Storms Moving Out...

It was a dark and stormy night. That's how Snoopy started all of his novels in the comic strip Peanuts. His depiction would have been accurate about the weather across Central Alabama overnight. The tug of war between intensifying low pressure to the west of Alabama and a stubborn high to our northeast led to screaming gradient winds all night, averaging 15-25 mph and gusting frequently above 30 mph. A strong trough of low pressure pushing our way was able to maintain a line of storms all the way across Mississippi and into western Alabama after midnight. The line of showers and storms stalled out, producing heavy rain over some western sections before the front nudged the line eastward early this morning. The delay gave the atmosphere time to send in reinforcements in the form of warmer, more moist air that set the stage for increasing thunderstorms this morning.

SEVERE SUNDAY: A tornado watch is in effect for parts of South and South Central Alabama until early afternoon as a firehose of moisture continues to spray instability up into Southwest and South Central Alabama. The powerful wind fields make for abundant spin in the atmosphere, and any robust thunderstorm updrafts could start spinning like a top with the potential to produce tornadoes. Even where there are no storms, those boundary layer winds will be roaring until late morning. The storms will end from the west through the morning hours, exiting eastern Alabama this afternoon.

CHANGE TO COLDER: Cooler and drier air will start to flow into Alabama this afternoon and evening. We will start of fin the lower 40s on Monday, with highs struggling to reach the lower 50s on Monday, despite a good supply of sunshine. Expect a freeze Tuesday and Wednesday mornings, with sunny skies both days.

LATE WEEK SYSTEM: The system coming in for Thursday night and Friday promises to be an interesting one. It will spread rain into Alabama Thursday night, perhaps changing over to a wintry mix before ending Friday morning.

EL NINO: NOAA's Oceanic Nino Index continues to increase. For the October – December period it increased to +1.5, which is the threshold for a major event. Further strengthening is expected over the winter. This means more stormy conditions for Alabama and the Deep South over the next few months. So what else is new?

WEATHERBRAINS: Betsy Kling from Cleveland is scheduled to be our guest panelist for episode 209 Monday night. The Guest WeatherBrain will be famed severe weather and radar researcher Les Lemon. We will talk about his career, the evolution and future of weather radar and the safety of large venues during severe weather. Subscribe to the show on iTunes, or try it out at www.WeatherBrains.com. Always free and always fun!

ON THIS DATE IN 1964: A tornado touched down southeast of Harpersville in Shelby County, Alabama, then tore through the eastern sections of the town around 7 p.m.. Ten people died in the twister. Contents of some damaged homes were blown over one half mile away. One home was moved 200 feet, but remained intact! Follow my daily weather history tweets on Twitter: www.twitter.com/wxhistorian.

Bill Murray
bill@integralhospitality.com

ABC 33/40 7 Day Planner: http://cfc.abc3340.com/abc3340/7day.cfm
ABC 33/40 Weather Blog: http://www.alabamawx.com

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TONIGHT
Storms move through East Alabama. Showers end slowly from the west.
Morning Low 49
WIND: SW/W 12-22

MONDAY
Partly cloudy and breezy.
Morning Low 39 Afternoon High 52
WIND: W 12-22

TUESDAY
Mostly sunny after a cold morning.
Morning Low 31 Afternoon High 53
WIND: W 10-15

WEDNESDAY
Mostly sunny.
Morning Low 30 Afternoon High 57
WIND: SE 5-10

THURSDAY
Partly sunny, but increasing clouds with rain becoming likely overnight. Perhaps changing to freezing rain or snow.
Morning Low 41 Afternoon High 57
WIND: S/SW 7-14

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