ABC 33/40 E-Forecast
ABC 33/40 E-FORECAST
Afternoon Edition For Sunday December 20, 2009
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...Sunshine Returns...
On the weather maps this afternoon, we find a trough over the eastern United States with a hurricane strength nor-easter low east of Cape Cod. This low was responsible for the record setting snows along the Atlantic Seaboard. This trough is keeping Alabama in a cool northwesterly flow. Clouds hung tough in this northwesterly flow yesterday, but those low clouds were rapidly eroding from the southwest this morning. They were slowest to break up over the Tennessee Valley, where mostly cloudy continues prevailed at early afternoon. A ridge extends over the Rockies, with another storm system along the West Coast.
DRY MONDAY AND TUESDAY: The ridge will slide into place over the Mississippi Valley by tomorrow. Surface high pressure will slide to our east and southerly winds will return. This will lead to warming temperatures for Monday and Tuesday, when highs will be in the middle and upper 50s. By Tuesday night, the western trough will spin up low pressure to the west of Alabama. This low will be out next weather maker.
STRONG STORMS/COLDER: An outbreak of severe weather is likely on Wednesday to the west of Alabama over Mississippi and the Arklatex. The models have trended slower and slower with the robust little low pressure system that will be over the Missouri Bootheel by late afternoon Wednesday. Showers and storms will spread into Alabama by late Wednesday afternoon and Wednesday night, but it may be that the main line of storms does not cross the state until Thursday. We will wait for a couple of more model runs before altering the timing in the forecast, but the slower movement will mean some decent rainfall totals. Much of the area will see between 1.25-2 inches of rain from this system, heavier on the western side of the state. Colder air will spread into the state after the frontal passage. Snow flurries now don't look likely for Christmas Eve or Christmas Day, except perhaps over western Tennessee. Can't rule them out, but they don't look likely.
YEAR IN REVIEW: I will be working on my top ten lists for 2009 and the decade over the next couple of weeks. You can help. Give me your top Alabama, U.S. and International weather events for 2009 and the decade (2000-09) at http://www.alabamawx.com/?p=25461.
WEATHERBRAINS: Winter storm preparedness is the theme for Monday night's show. Listen at www.WeatherBrains.com or subscribe on iTunes. Follow us on Twitter @weatherbrains and you could win a copy of Eric Pinder's new book: Life at the Top, about life at the Mount Washington Observatory.
ON THIS DATE IN 1996: Record cold in Florida. Record cold afternoon high temperatures were set at Miami with 55 degrees and 58 degrees at Key West. The temperature struggled to reach 44 degrees at Tampa, shattering the minimum record high temperature for the date, and coming close to the all-time coolest high temperature for the Tampa area of 38, set on Christmas day in 1983. Follow my daily weather history tweets on Twitter: www.twitter.com/wxhistorian.
Bill Murray
bill@integralhospitality.com
ABC 33/40 7 Day Planner: http://cfc.abc3340.com/abc3340/7day.cfm
ABC 33/40 Weather Blog: http://www.alabamawx.com
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TONIGHT
Fair skies.
Morning Low 31
WIND: NW 5-10
MONDAY
Mostly sunny.
Morning Low 30 Afternoon High 55
WIND: W 6-12
TUESDAY
Partly cloudy.
Morning Low 36 Afternoon High 57
WIND: S 6-14
WEDNESDAY
Showers increasing during day and becoming windy. Rain and storms likely overnight. Some strong.
Morning Low 45 Afternoon High 62
WIND: SE 8-20
THURSDAY
Mostly cloudy and windy. A shower still possible.
Morning Low 50 Afternoon High 60
WIND: SW/W 10-20
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10:35pm The Zone
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