The Alabama Weather Blog

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Thursday, November 19, 2009

ABC 33/40 E-Forecast

ABC 33/40 E-FORECAST
Afternoon Edition For Thursday November 19, 2009
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...More Changes In Our Weather...

MILDER TREND STARTS TOMORROW: We are making several changes in our forecast with this afternoon edition. You can blame 80% of that on our friend, the Gulf of Mexico.

Do no get mad at the Gulf of Mexico. If we did not have her, the entire Alabama landscape would look different, not only to trees and timberlands, but farms, lakes and streams.

The latest model runs have changed the path of the low that will form in the Gulf of Mexico. The low is now expected to move inland closer to Alabama. By Saturday morning, the low is expected to be along the Louisiana coast with rain overspreading the south half of Mississippi. By nightfall Saturday, the low should be over Southern Mississippi. Then it is projected to move up across Eastern Mississippi into the Tennessee Valley area of Alabama. This is considerably different from what the models were painting yesterday, so there could still be more changes.
It will not be quite as cold tonight, but there could be some patchy frost in the valleys by daybreak. Milder temperatures Friday with highs in the mid 60s and mostly sunshine, but clouds will move in Friday night. At some point later in the day Saturday, we will see some rain spread up from the SW with a better chance Saturday night. The rain should linger into Sunday, mainly during the morning. Monday looks like mostly sunshine and mild temperatures.

FOOTBALL WEATHER: Looks great for the remaining high school play off games Friday night. It will be dry and cool with temperatures in the 50s for most of the games and maybe some upper 40s by the fourth quarter. No rain expected. For in state college games on Saturday, Chattanooga will be at Alabama at 11:21 and Eastern Kentucky at Jacksonville State at noon. We must introduce the possibility of some light rain, although much of those two games could be played dry. Elon is at Samford for a 2:00 p.m. kick off and Mississippi Valley State at Alabama A&M also at 2:00. Florida Atlantic will be at Troy for a 3:19 game. There is a chance of rain for those games and temperatures will be hovering close to 60.

THANKSGIVING: Too far out to be specific, but indications are that a good surge of colder air will be spreading across Alabama at midweek giving some clear dry weather for Thanksgiving Day with temperatures probably struggling to reach 60. More on that later.

MISCELLANEOUS: Two of the colder temperatures in Alabama this morning: 28 at Muscadine and 29 at Scrougeout. The latter is in NE Etowah County and had heavy frost and a bit of freezing fog…88 was the warmest in the USA Wednesday at Miami…cold spots this morning included 3 above at Stanley, Idaho in the heart of the Sawtooth Mountains…coldest in Alaska was 46 below at Bettles, Alaska after a high yesterday of only 38 below…as much as 30 inches of snow over parts of Western Alaska.

MY TINY CORNER OF THE WORLD: Sometimes I think I know Little Miss Molly like a book; at other times, not so sure. As she gets older, her habits are changing somewhat. For the last week or so, there has been 100 zillion fallen leaves along the walking track, most of them are very small. Every time we walk she will seek out one single tiny leaf and sniff it for several minutes, if I let her. I do not know if she is text messaging or reading them like tea leaves or like it is her e-mail. Eventually she will leave a few drops and move on. Late yesterday she was right up against the hedgerow doing her business. The CR (Community Rabbit) was only inches away. He shot out of there like a cannon brushing the top of Molly. Molly took up the chase, leaping like a kangaroo. I followed behind like an Olympic runner until I got everything under control. Like I say, I never know what to expect and life goes on.

J. B. Elliott
jb.elliott@theweathercompany.com

ABC 33/40 7 Day Planner: http://cfc.abc3340.com/abc3340/7day.cfm
ABC 33/40 Weather Blog: http://www.alabamawx.com

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TONIGHT
Clear. Some patchy light frost in outlying areas.
Morning Low 39
WIND: Light N

FRIDAY
Mostly sunny, but clouds increase at night.
Morning Low 39 Afternoon High 65
WIND: NE 6-12

SATURDAY
Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain late in the day and at night.
Morning Low 45 Afternoon High 62
WIND: E 7-14

SUNDAY
Chance of rain, mostly during the morning.
Morning Low 47 Afternoon High 63
WIND: NE 6-12

MONDAY
Mostly sunny.
Morning Low 46 Afternoon High 66
WIND: NE 5-10

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Tonight on ABC 33/40:

6:00pm ABC 33/40 News
6:30pm Wheel of Fortune
7:00pm FlashForward
8:00pm Grey's Anatomy
9:00pm Private Practice
10:25pm ABC 33/40 News
11:00pm Nightline

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