ABC 33/40 E-Forecast

ABC 33/40 E-FORECAST
Afternoon Edition For Sunday November 15, 2009
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It just doesn't get much better than this in November in Alabama, at least weather wise. We have a case of severe clear over the state, with not a cloud in sight. There are some fair weather cumulus clouds over in Mississippi, were dewpoints are in the 50s, but our airmass is still dry. Dewpoints are in the 40s across much of the state with air temperatures in the 70s. The nearest precipitation to Alabama is some light showers over eastern Texas and some heavier ones over Oklahoma and Missouri ahead of a powerhouse upper trough moving into the Plains states. Snow was falling over southeastern Colorado and western Kansas, where 6-8 inches is expected to fall overnight. The trough is expected to cut off into a big upper low, bringing more snow to northern Kansas on Monday.

THIS SYSTEM IS OUR NEXT WEATHERMAKER AS WELL: The same system bringing snow to the Plains states will have some influence on Alabama's weather early in the week. It remains to be seen whether the low will remain further west, or progress east and southeast on Monday. The morning run of the GFS did have it moving a little closer to us, increasing our rain chances for Monday night and Tuesday. The last three runs of the GFS have been more progressive with the system, so they may be on to something. We will look at tonight's data before significantly changing the forecast. Just keep it in the back of your mind.

REST OF THE WEEK: Model madness continues for the remainder of the week with a lot of uncertainty. The GFS has been trending drier for the end of the week, so the shower chances we have in te forecast for Friday and Saturday may have to be lowered at least. It will continue mild of the remainder of the week.

HOLIDAY SNEAK PREVIEW: The Holiday week should start off with rain and thunderstorms Monday into Tuesday. Tere are some indications another system will affect us Wednesday or Thursday, but if the fickle GFS is to be believed, Thanksgiving Day would be fair and colder with good weather for Friday's Iron Bowl.

WEATHERBRAINS: Don't miss last week's show with Tim Marshall. It was a great discussion about severe weather and wind damage. This week, it's what is right with the warning system wit Weather Data CEO Mike Smith. We will record the new show Monday night. Listen to the show at www.WeatherBrains.com or subscribe on iTunes. Follow us on Twitter @weatherbrains.

ON THIS DATE IN 2006: An outbreak of tornadoes across the Deep South was the result of an unusually intense low pressure system near Memphis, Tennessee. An early morning tornado near Hattiesburg, MS was rated as an F3. Several tornadoes were reported across South Central and Southeast Alabama, including one at Pintlala, Alabama, south of Montgomery. This same storm apparently caused damage near Taylor Road in East Montgomery. Brundidge, Alabama was also hard hit. A water tower collapsed there and a fire station was flattened.
Bill Murray
bill@integralhospitality.com

ABC 33/40 7 Day Planner: http://cfc.abc3340.com/abc3340/7day.cfm
ABC 33/40 Weather Blog: http://www.alabamawx.com

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TONIGHT
Fair and cool.
Morning Low 40
WIND: Var 5-10

MONDAY
Partly cloudy skies.
Morning Low 46 Afternoon High 75
WIND: SE 5-10

TUESDAY
Increasing clouds. Slight chance of a shower over western sections.
Morning Low 50 Afternoon High 69
WIND: SE 6-12

WEDNESDAY
Mostly cloudy and coolish. A slight chance of a shower over the west.
Morning Low 54 Afternoon High 63
WIND: E/SE 6-12

THURSDAY
Partly sunny.
Morning Low 47 Afternoon High 66
WIND: E/SE 5-10

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Tonight on ABC 33/40:

1:30pm NASCAR
6:00pm AFV
7:00pm Extreme Makeover
8:00pm Desperate Housewives
9:00pm Brothers and Sisters
10:00pm ABC3340 News
10:35pm The Zone

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