ABC 33/40 E-Forecast

ABC 33/40 E-FORECAST
Afternoon Edition For Monday November 16, 2009
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...A Cool Front Approaching...

NOT MUCH RAIN: Most of our weather comes from the west, southwest or south. So, we spend a lot of time turning our eyes westward to see what is coming at us. This afternoon we find a moderate cool front crossing Arkansas and Louisiana. We also see a band of showers across West Tennessee and Mississippi headed east. That is where the simplicity ends. This is not a distinct clear-cut forecast. The temperature forecast is not too bad. We expect that front to ease through Central Alabama at some point tonight dropping temperatures to around 48 when you have your first cup of coffee tomorrow morning. It may not get out of the upper 50s during the day Tuesday. That band of showers to our west has been decreasing as it moves east today. We do not expect much rain. One of our favorite weather models, the NAM (that stands for North American Model), spits out only 0.01 rain from this event. The morning run of the GFS (Global Forecast System), which we probably use more than any other, shows only 0.28. So this is definitely not going to be a big rain event, especially when compared to Tropical Storm Ida. Some of those showers could linger tomorrow morning, but we are now calling for dry weather Wednesday, Thursday and Friday with lows at night from 38 to 34 and daily highs in the 60s. Our next chance of rain beyond that would be at some point over the weekend with probably the better chance on Saturday.

METEOR SHOWER: It is called the Leonid Meteor Shower and it peaks on Tuesday with a new moon providing viewing conditions dark enough to not compete. Scientists expect a relatively mild display of 20 to 30 meteors per hour over North America. There will be a whole lot more over Asia. Your best bet will be before sunrise tomorrow morning.

STORM ALERT XTREME: From all accounts, the event yesterday at the BJCC was the best one ever with the largest attendance.

PROWLING THROUGH NORTH AMERICA: 6 to 8 inches of new snow over parts of Kansas and Nebraska…at Dawson, Nebraska today, the snow was accumulating at nearly 2 inches per hour with one-half foot already on the ground…Freeze Warnings are posted tonight for a number of counties in Central Texas and Central Oklahoma…It may drop as low as 22 over NW Oklahoma…here in Alabama, the Alabama River is still in flood around Claiborne and Millers Ferry…the river level was about 5 feet above flood stage, but that warning will end probably by tomorrow…cold spots this morning 7 below zero in Yellowstone National Park and 38 below at Hulsa, Alaska…warmest Sunday was 89 at McAllen and Laredo, both in the Rio Grande Valley of South Texas.

MY TINY CORNER OF THE WORLD: Here we go again. A new great granddaughter born into our family this morning. Her name is Kaleigh Elizabeth. That makes a total of 6 grandchildren and now we have 3 great grandchildren. Maybe I should feel older than Red Mountain. No, I will never feel old. Little Miss Molly has reversed my aging and I feel younger every year. She became impatient with me yesterday because of no ballgames, around nightfall she took matters into her own paws and went on a vicious energy explosion. She was racing through the house so fast that you could hear her toenails digging into the carpet, which is tantamount to tires squealing on a speeding car. She was pouncing off the recliner, the sofa and another chair. Every few seconds she would stop and glare at me as if to say--I do not need you. Life goes on.

J. B. Elliott
jb.elliott@theweathercompany.com

ABC 33/40 7 Day Planner: http://cfc.abc3340.com/abc3340/7day.cfm
ABC 33/40 Weather Blog: http://www.alabamawx.com

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TONIGHT
A slight chance of a shower late. Cooler overnight.
Morning Low 48
WIND: S 4-7

TUESDAY
A few morning showers. Turning cooler.
Morning Low 48 Afternoon High 59
WIND: W 6-12

WEDNESDAY
Partly sunny and cool.
Morning Low 39 Afternoon High 62
WIND: SW 5-10

THURSDAY
Partly sunny.
Morning Low 41 Afternoon High 66
WIND: NE 5-10

FRIDAY
Partly sunny.
Morning Low 44 Afternoon High 68
WIND: SE 5-10

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