ABC 33/40 E-Forecast

ABC 33/40 E-FORECAST
Morning Edition For Monday November 9, 2009
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...Ida To Bring Wind/Rain To Alabama...

Sunday was a perfect weather day across Central Alabama, with lots of
sunshine and warm temperatures. It felt more like late April than
November. High clouds began to stream across the area during the late
afternoon, signs of changes ahead.

HURRICANE IDA: Those changes are coming in the form of a late season
hurricane and upper trough approaching from the west. Category two
Hurricane Ida is some 375 miles south of Mobile this morning. Top
winds are around 100 mph. The storm is moving northward at 16 mph.
Tropical storm force winds extend 150 miles to the north of the
center, with 58 mph winds extending 75 miles north and hurricane force
winds out about 30 miles to the east and 20 miles to the west of the
center. You get the idea that strong winds will affect a wide area.
Remember that hurricanes and tropical storms are not a single point.
Ida will be in the process of becoming extratropical over the next 24
hours, and that could happen before landfall, but winds, rain and
surge will still be a problem for coastal and some inland areas.

COASTAL IMPACTS: Tropical storm winds will reach southeastern
Louisiana by mid-afternoon and the Alabama coast by 6 p.m. the strong
tropical storm force winds will reach Gulf Shores and Orange Beach
just after midnight. By then Ida, will be turning to the northeast.
Landfall of the center should come at late morning near or just east
of Pensacola. The counterclockwise flow around the storm and a tight
pressure gradient has produced an extended period of wind over the
northern Gulf. This will result in a wide area of elevated storm
tides in the 3-5 foot range with isolated 7 foot tides potentially in
Plaquemines Parish in Louisiana or possibly in any bays just east of
landfall point, like Mobile or Escambia. 4-5 inches of rain will fall
along the coast and there could be tornadoes east and northeast of the
storm center.

EFFECTS ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA: Ida is expected to turn to the east
and weaken rapidly after reaching the coast. This means that the
worst weather will come tonight and Tuesday morning across Central
Alabama in the pre-storm environment. Rain will spread northeastward
during the day and could be heavy area Central Alabama tonight.
Rainfall amounts should be in the 2-4 inch range before ending during
the day Tuesday. Flooding is a possibility, but the recent drier
conditions will help. Winds will be fresh today, and increase to
15-25 mph in the I-20 corridor tonight, gusting to over 35 mph at
times. To the south, winds will be a little higher across South
Central Alabama, as one might expect.

VETERANS DAY AND BEYOND: Northerly winds on the back side of post-
Hurricane Ida will keep us in a dry flow from Wednesday through much
of Friday, which means fine conditions for the Veterans Day parade and
nice weather for Thursday and Friday. Moisture will start to return
for the weekend, but we may stay dry through much of Saturday and
Sunday.

WEATHERBRAINS: Tonight, wind engineer and severe weather expert Tim
Marshall will join the panel. I am sure Ida will figure in the
conversation as well. Follow our tweets about the show: we are
@weatherbrains at Twitter.com.

ON THIS DATE IN 1998: A tremendous storm system (966 mb – the
intensity of a Category 2 Hurricane) moved across the Plains states on
the 9th and 10th, producing record low barometric pressure readings
across parts of Iowa (28.54 inches) and Minnesota (28.43 inches). The
storm, one of the strongest on record in the Midwest, was reminiscent
of the storm that caused the wreck of the Edmund Fitzgerald in 1975.
The trailing cold front across the south central states produced a
late night F3 tornado that struck parts of Columbia MO about at 1:58
a.m on the 9th. Miraculously, no one was killed, but 16 were injured
and damage totaled $6 million.

Bill Murray
bill@integralhospitality.com

ABC 33/40 7 Day Planner: http://cfc.abc3340.com/abc3340/7day.cfm
ABC 33/40 Weather Blog: http://www.alabamawx.com

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TODAY
Cloudy and becoming breezy with a chance of rain by afternoon. Windy
with heavy rain likely overnight.
Afternoon High 73
WIND: E 15-25

TUESDAY
Windy with heavy rainfall likely, diminishing from the west during the
afternoon.
Morning Low 56 Afternoon High 64
WIND: N 15-30

WEDNESDAY
Partly cloudy.
Morning Low 48 Afternoon High 67
WIND: N 8-16

THURSDAY
Mostly sunny.
Morning Low 43 Afternoon High 70
WIND: N 6-12

FRIDAY
Partly cloudy.
Morning Low 46 Afternoon High 71
WIND: N 5-10

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