ABC 33/40 E-Forecast

ABC 33/40 E-FORECAST
Morning Edition For Saturday November 7, 2009
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...Eyeing Ida...

Great weather this morning for the Vulcan Run in downtown Birmingham.
One of the South's premiere running events, the 10K run has been
continuously run since 1975. It is Birmingham's longest running road
race. With near total sunshine today, temperatures will warm into the
lower 70s at most locations. Look for a few clouds overnight with
lows in the 40-44 range. Tomorrow looks perfect, with a good supply
of sunshine and highs in the upper 70s. We are in the process of
issuing a Perfect Weather Watch for Sunday. But by Sunday afternoon,
a trough will be swinging into Texas, and that will allow for rain
chances to return on Monday.

IDA: Ida is back over the northwestern Caribbean after a jaunt over
Nicaragua and Honduras. The center is a little more than 300 miles
south southeast of the northeastern tip of the Yucatan. The system
became a tropical storm overnight over the warm waters of the
Caribbean. As is often the case, there is a great deal of
uncertainty about the amount of strengthening that will occur as the
storm moves steadily north northwestward and grazes the Yucatan Sunday
night, on its way into the southern Gulf. But I would bet that it
does become a hurricane by Sunday afternoon over the Caribbean. Ida
will move into the Central Gulf and likely merge with a frontal
system, becoming extratropical by late Tuesday, when it is just 300
miles south of Mobile. As it encounters increasing shear, it should
weaken. It might even turn south over the Gulf before dissipating.
This is
the forecast. But as we always say with tropical systems, expect the
unexpected.

A NEW WORK WEEK: Moisture will move back into Alabama by late Monday,
bringing increasing rain chances in the Monday night – Tuesday time
frame. The possibility of rain will be affected by the final
disposition of Ida. Stay tuned. For now, the expect about three
quarters of an inch of rain. High pressure will build in by
Wednesday, giving us fair weather for the latter half of the week. It
looks like the nice weather could continue into the weekend, although
forecast confidence drops as we head through time.

FOOTBALL FORECAST: Alabama hosts LSU at Bryant-Denny Stadium in
Tuscaloosa (2:30 p.m. kickoff). The sky will be sunny with 73 degrees
at kickoff, with temperatures falling back into the 60s by the end of
the game. You can expect very similar weather for the Auburn/Furman
game at Jordan-Hare Stadium; lots of sunshine with temperatures in the
67 to 70 degree range during the game. UAB celebrates homecoming
Saturday, as
the Blazers host Florida Atlantic at Legion Field (1:00 p.m.
kickoff). Expect a sunny sky for that game with a kickoff temperature
near 71 degrees.

WEATHERBRAINS: Rave reviews for episode 197. Dr. Chuck Doswell was
the guest WeatherBrain. Ear his interesting take on severe weather,
the National Weather Service, the warning process and television
meteorologists. Listen at www.WeatherBrains.com or subscribe on
iTunes. It's free!

ON THIS DATE IN 2005: Record warmth across much of the country as an
autumn warm spell kept most of the country in warmth. Record highs
were set at Birmingham (82F) and Tuscaloosa (85F). Six records were
set across Central Mississippi, including 86F at Jackson. It was 84F
at Fort Smith AR. Other records included 86F at Monroe LA and 83F at
Pensacola FL. The reading of 86F at Tupelo tied the all-time November
high for the station. 86F at Tulsa and 88F at Childress TX were both
records. Follow my weather history tweets on Twitter @wxhistorian. -
Bill Murray
Bill Murray
bill@integralhospitality.com

ABC 33/40 7 Day Planner: http://cfc.abc3340.com/abc3340/7day.cfm
ABC 33/40 Weather Blog: http://www.alabamawx.com

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TODAY
A bright, sunny day.
Afternoon High 73
WIND: SE 6-12

SUNDAY
Mostly sunny, but increasing clouds overnight.
Morning Low 48 Afternoon High 77
WIND: SE 6-12

MONDAY
Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain by afternoon. Rain chances go up
overnight.
Morning Low 54 Afternoon High 70
WIND: SE 7-14

TUESDAY
A chance of showers and storms.
Morning Low 58 Afternoon High 68
WIND: SW 7-14

WEDNESDAY
Partly sunny.
Morning Low 55 Afternoon High 69
WIND: W 6-12

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