ABC 33/40 E-Forecast

ABC 33/40 E-FORECAST
Afternoon Edition For Sunday November 1, 2009
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...Nice Fall Afternoon...

I have a love-hate relationship with the semi-annual time change. When
I was a kid, I hated the fall back because it limited afternoon
playtime. Plus it meant we were slipping deeper into winter, also
known as anti-summer. But as I have grown old, I have really learned
to appreciate the extra hour of sleep the government returns to us. I
also like getting the model output an hour earlier.

ON TO THE WEATHER: Pretty simple forecast over the next seven days. On
the weather maps this afternoon, we find a broad upper trough over the
Mississippi Valley. The axis of this trough will slide slowly
eastward, to a position over Alabama Monday evening. At the surface, a
broad ridge of cool high pressure extends from eastern Canada through
the Ohio Valley and into the Deep South. This will give us another
clear, cool and calm night overnight tonight with lows in the 40s.
Tomorrow will be mostly sunny with highs in the upper 60s to near 70.
A disturbance passing by to the north will produce a few clouds late
Monday night and early Tuesday. Otherwise, the week will be clear to
partly cloudy, with lows ranging between 39-44 and highs between
68-73. It looks like our next chance of rain will come after the
weekend as high pressure remains in control of Alabama's weather.

TORNADO STATISTICS: So far this year, there have been 1,223 tornadoes
reported. The actual amount will probably be about 10% less than that
when the final statistics are tabulated. We will likely see another
50-75 tornadoes by the end of the year, totaling up to about
1,150-1,200. This will be about 25% less than the 1,691 measured in
2008. There have been 22 tornado fatalities so far this year. If we
can make it through December 31st with no more additional deaths, it
will be the second lowest annual death toll since 1950. Alabama has
had one tornado fatality, in an April 19th storm in Marshall County.
TROPICS: A disturbance some 700 miles or so east of Bermuda shows
signs of becoming a subtropical storm. If it does do so, it will be
called Ida. Elsewhere in the tropical Atlantic, things are quiet.

WEATHERBRAINS: Monday night's show will feature renowned severe
weather expert Chuck Doswell. Discussions are likely to turn to severe
weather research, storm chasing and the warning process. If he is
anything, Chuck is opinionated. Listen to the show at www.WeatherBrains.com
or subscribe on iTunes. Follow us on Twitter @weatherbrains.

ON THIS DATE IN 1848: James Espy, one of the leading weather
authorities of his day was working on the nationwide network of
weather observers that the Smithsonian's Joseph Henry was
establishing. Espy was known as the "Storm King" because of his
treatise "Philosophy of Storms." On this date, Espy was distributing a
circular through Congress seeking volunteer weather observers across
the country. Response was tremendous. By the start of the Civil War,
Henry would have over 600 observers. In 1850, Henry established a
pictorial map in Washington DC so that the public could view the
observations collected each day. The weather map became one of
Washington's most popular meeting spots.
Bill Murray
bill@integralhospitality.com

ABC 33/40 7 Day Planner: http://cfc.abc3340.com/abc3340/7day.cfm
ABC 33/40 Weather Blog: http://www.alabamawx.com

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TONIGHT
Clear and cool.
Morning Low 44
WIND: N 6-12

MONDAY
Mostly sunny.
Morning Low 45 Afternoon High 69
WIND: N 6-12

TUESDAY
Plenty of sunshine.
Morning Low 44 Afternoon High 68
WIND: N 6-12

WEDNESDAY
Mostly sunny.
Morning Low 46 Afternoon High 70
WIND: NE 5-10

THURSDAY
Partly cloudy.
Morning Low 43 Afternoon High 71
WIND: SE 5-10

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Tonight on ABC 33/40:

6:00pm AFV
7:00pm Extreme Makeover
8:00pm Desperate Housewives
9:00pm Brothers and Sisters
10:00pm ABC3340 News
10:35pm The Zone

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