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Thursday, October 15, 2009

ABC 33/40 E-Forecast

ABC 33/40 E-FORECAST
Morning Edition For Thursday October 15, 2009
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...A Few Strong Storms Today...

ONE MORE DAY OF RAIN: Yet another day with a chance of rain for
Alabama, in what has been a rather remarkable September and October.
We are dealing with a storm track enhanced by the current El Nino
cycle, and yet another disturbance aloft will spin up a surface low
over the Deep South today. We expect a round of showers and
thunderstorms, mostly this afternoon, with potential for another one-
half to one inch of rain. It also appears the chance of strong storms
is back on the table with some degree of surface based instability and
low level veering of the wind. Seems like the best chance of any
severe storms today will be over the southern
two-thirds of the state; we will be watching radar trends as the day
progresses. The rain will end this evening.

CHILLY DAYS AHEAD: The coolest air so far this fall season will invade
Alabama late tonight, and tomorrow promises to be a rather raw, chilly
day with temperatures having a hard time reaching the mid 50s, along
with stubborn clouds and brisk northerly breeze. A little drizzle is
possible tomorrow morning, but the day will be mostly rain-free.

On Saturday, a strong disturbance aloft will move over Alabama, and
will produce cloudy periods and some risk of widely scattered showers.
Moisture will be very limited, so rain should be light and spotty. The
day will feature more clouds than sun with a high only in the mid 50s.
That chilly north wind will continue.

There is a good chance we drop into the upper 30s both Sunday and
Monday morning. Most likely, the coldest morning will be early Monday
with the colder valleys have a chance of seeing low to mid 30s. Dry
air means lots of sunshine Sunday and Monday; a warming trend will
begin Monday afternoon with a high close to 70. The next chance of
rain will come during the latter half of next week.

FOOTBALL WEATHER: You will need a jacket for the high school football
games tomorrow night. The kickoff temperature will be close to 50
degrees, with temperatures falling into the upper 40s by the final
whistle. The sky will be cloudy, but there is no significant chance of
rain. On Saturday, Alabama hosts South Carolina for homecoming at the
Capstone; the sky will be mostly clear at kickoff (6:45 p.m.) with a
temperature close to 49 degrees; expect mid 40s by the final whistle.
Auburn hosts Kentucky (6:30 p.m. kickoff) with similar conditions; the
temperature will be around 50 at kickoff, falling into the 40s during
the game. The sky will be clear. UAB will travel to Oxford,
Mississippi to play Ole Miss Saturday night (6:00 p.m. kickoff)… the
sky will be clear with a kickoff temperature of 49 degrees, falling
into the mid 40s by the fourth quarter.

RAIN UPDATE: Birmingham's rain total for the month of October is up
to 5.73", and for the year the tally is 58.08". That gives us a
surplus of almost 15 inches (14.97").

James Spann
jspann@abc3340.com

ABC 33/40 7 Day Planner: http://cfc.abc3340.com/abc3340/7day.cfm
ABC 33/40 Weather Blog: http://www.alabamawx.com

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TODAY
A good chance of showers and a few strong thunderstorms.
Afternoon High 75
WIND: SW 7-14

FRIDAY
Mostly cloudy, breezy, and sharply cooler. Some morning drizzle.
Morning Low 49 Afternoon High 55
WIND: N 10-20

SATURDAY
Breezy and cool. Widely scattered showers.
Morning Low 40 Afternoon High 54
WIND: N 10-20

SUNDAY
Sunny with a cold morning.
Morning Low 39 Afternoon High 60
WIND: N 7-14

MONDAY
Sunny. Another cold morning with some scattered frost for the valleys.
Morning Low 38 Afternoon High 71
WIND: NE 5-10

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