ABC 33/40 E-Forecast

ABC 33/40 E-FORECAST
Morning Edition For Monday September 14, 2009
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...A Wet Week...

The much ballyhooed wet weather pattern we have been talking about
since late last week continues to come together. Areas west of I-65
in Alabama should see 3-4 inches of rain over the next five days, with
amounts tapering to about two inches on average near the Georgia border.

MAP ROOM: On the weather maps this morning, we find an upper level
low pressure system over eastern Texas, with an associated surface low
just north of Houston. To the east of the lows, a plume of deep
tropical moisture is spreading up into Mississippi and Alabama.
Disturbances rotating around the circulation of the upper low will
help to spark areas of showers and storms that will move northward.
This means a pretty wet forecast through the end of the work week. It
will be hard to time specific waves of precipitation, but it looks
like the upper low or trough will remain across the area until
Thursday. Suffice to say that rain chances will be high through at
least Thursday, running at least 50 percent each day.

HEADING TOWARD THE WEEKEND: The models continue to advertise a more
zonal, or west to east flow as we head toward Friday, and this will
mean a trend to drier conditions. The moisture that is over the area
will still remain, as there seems to be nothing to scour it out.
Scattered showers and storms will stay in the forecast into the weekend.

TROPICS: The remnants of Fred continue to be buffeted by extremely
strong wind shear which is able to tear apart any thunderstorms that
try to get organized. This hostile environment will continue along
the remnant low's tracks. The disturbance in the eastern Atlantic
will encounter decreasing shear over the next day or so, and slow
development is possible.

ONE YEAR AGO: The Chicago area was staggering under a double whammy
of tropical moisture from Pacific tropical storm Lowell and Hurricane
Ike. On the 13th, O'Hare recorded its greatest one day rainfall total
with 6.64 inches in the rain bucket.

WEATHERBRAINS EPISODE 190: Tonight, the topic is the tropics, with
Rob Lightbown, the principal at Crown Weather, which specializes in
the tropics, with a great tropical webpage. Listen to tonight's show
at www.WeatherBrains.com, as well as all of the archived shows. You
can also subscribe to the podcast in the iTunes Music Store. Follow
the show on Twitter @weatherbrains.

ON THIS DATE IN 1928: Residents of South Florida were confused over
conflicting reports about a major hurricane that was pushing northwest
through the Bahamas. The San Felipe Hurricane had already caused over
1,000 deaths in the Caribbean. As they tracked the advisories,
residents believed that the storm was going to pass south of them.
The hurricane would roar over Lake Okeechobee with winds of 130 mph,
swamping the four foot dike around the southern end of the shallow
lake. Towns like Moore Haven, South Bay and Belle Glade were
inundated. A total of 1,836 people died in Florida, making it the
state's worst natural disaster in history. Follow my weather history
tweets @wxhistorian.

Bill Murray
bill.murray@theweathercompany.com

ABC 33/40 7 Day Planner: http://cfc.abc3340.com/abc3340/7day.cfm
ABC 33/40 Weather Blog: http://www.alabamawx.com

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TODAY
A good chance of rain and occasional thunderstorms.
Afternoon High 81
WIND: SE 6-12

TUESDAY
Showers and storms, numerous at times.
Morning Low 69 Afternoon High 80
WIND: S 6-12

WEDNESDAY
A good chance of showers and storms.
Morning Low 70 Afternoon High 81
WIND: S 7-14

THURSDAY
Mostly cloudy with showers and storms.
Morning Low 69 Afternoon High 81
WIND: S 8-16

FRIDAY
Partly sunny. A chance of more showers and storms.
Morning Low 69 Afternoon High 82
WIND: SW 6-12

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Tonight on ABC 33/40

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