ABC 33/40 E-Forecast

ABC 33/40 E-FORECAST
Afternoon Edition For Tuesday August 4, 2009
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..Ole Thermometer Rising...

THE ALABAMA STORY: For the next two days at least, we will turn our
attention toward the north and NW to see if we can find any clusters
of strong thunderstorms that decide to turn right slightly and head
toward Alabama. The upper air pattern has aligned itself again to
where there is a decent possibility of that. These type weather
situations are difficult to forecast accurately, because we do not
always know the exact angle that they enter a state.

There were big groups of thunderstorms today from Missouri to
Kentucky. These were moving mostly eastward during the day, but this
afternoon they were also building a little more southeastward. We
believe that big group of storms will probably affect areas NE of
Alabama. There may be some outflow boundaries that could reach Alabama.

SO WHAT ARE EXPECTING FOR ALABAMA? We think there could be a slight
risk of a thunderstorm later this afternoon and this evening.
Ingredients are favourable for one or two of those to be on the strong
side. For Wednesday, we are expecting some scattered thunderstorms
mostly in the afternoon and then on Thursday most of them during the
morning in North Alabama and sinking southward during the afternoon.
The old thermometer will heat up by this weekend with mid 90s Friday
and Saturday, but only a small risk of a thunderstorm on those two days.
This afternoon some storms were beginning to develop over East/Central
and Central Alabama. Those will be increasing a bit as the
afternoon goes on. Temperatures had reached the lower 90s over most of
the state.

A GENUINE BONA FIDE FLASH FLOOD: It happened today in Louisville and
a number of other Kentucky counties and adjacent areas. Massive flash
flooding has occurred with numerous water rescues and numerous roads
and highways impassable. Even I-65 was closed in downtown Louisville
after 5 inches of rain fell in only 90 minutes. The mayor of
Louisville said that parts of the city got 6 inches of rain in one
hour. In the midst of all that, severe lightning set an apartment
building on fire near I-64. The whole area was also under a Severe
Thunderstorm Watch. The rain rate in Louisville today may have set an
all-time record for such a short time.

RANDOM THOUGHTS: In Phoenix it was 114 yesterday and a low of 93 this
morning. They expect 114 today and 115 tomorrow. If that happens, that
means about 37 days in a row have had highs above 100 and most days
well above 100. The average high for the first three days of August
was 112. Austin was expecting 102 today in the midst of a severe
drought with over 100 for the next several days. A couple of cool
notes: 38 in Truckee, California this morning and 39 in Yellowstone
National Park and Big Piney, Wyoming.

TROPICAL AND BEACH WEATHER: The Atlantic shows no signs of helping
Ana to develop. However, there was a tropical wave 100 miles WSW of
the Cape Verde Islands. The NHC says little chance of it doing
anything in the next couple of days. Relatively good weather for the
beaches of Alabama and NW Florida. They will have scattered
thunderstorms Wednesday, but fewer in number for the latter part of
the week with highs in the lower 90s.

MY TINY CORNER OF THE WORLD: Ten people in our abode yesterday and
overnight, including two baby great grandchildren. Little Miss Molly
not only had to miss her ballgame, but t was almost impossible for her
to take a nap. She gets a lot of exercise in a situation like this.
She is constantly walking trying to stay out of the way of everybody.
Sometimes the babies will chase her and that makes her a little
uneasy. Her big retreat is our king-sized bed at night that she seems
to welcome. Life goes on.

J. B. Elliott
jb.elliott@theweathercompany.com

ABC 33/40 7 Day Planner: http://cfc.abc3340.com/abc3340/7day.cfm
ABC 33/40 Weather Blog: http://www.alabamawx.com

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TONIGHT
Warm and humid. A few evening thunderstorms.
Morning Low 72
WIND: SW 3-6

WEDNESDAY
Partly sunny and hot with scattered thunderstorms, mostly in the
afternoon.
Morning Low 72 Afternoon High 93
WIND: W 7-14

THURSDAY
Hot and humid with scattered thunderstorms, mostly during the morning.
Morning Low 73 Afternoon High 91
WIND: SW 5-10

FRIDAY
Mostly sunshine, although a slight chance for a thunderstorm.
Morning Low 71 Afternoon High 93
WIND: S 5-10

SATURDAY
Another hot day, but a small chance of an afternoon thunderstorm.
Morning Low 74 Afternoon High 95
WIND: SW 6-12

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