ABC 33/40 E-Forecast

ABC 33/40 E-FORECAST
Afternoon Edition For Sunday August 2, 2009
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===================================================================

...Trending Toward Drier and Hotter...

After a period of wet weather during the past week, patterns are
changing that will allow hotter and drier conditions to return to
Central Alabama.

SHOWERS AND STORMS: Showers and thunderstorms are expected to fire
again with afternoon heating across Central Alabama, mainly along and
south of I-59. A weak cool front will settle into central sections of
the state overnight, where it will go to die. Expect some patchy
dense fog overnight tonight, with little change in temperature from
the past few nights.

THE WEEK AHEAD: Storms will be pushed to the south for Monday
through Wednesday as the front fizzles. It will be trending hotter,
with more typical summertime highs in the 90s across our area.
Another approaching front will stir up a few more showers and storms
by Thursday and Friday, with rain chances back down in the slight
category by the weekend.

IN THE TROPICS: The persistent trough over the East Coast of the
United States shows no signs of letting up over the next ten days,
although there are signs it may weaken in about two weeks. This
trough would serve as a significant protector against East Coast
tropical storms. Its persistence might lead one to believe that it
could be a fairly consistent feature into September, which would be a
good thing. But shear is relaxing, water temperatures are a little
above normal and rising and the dry Saharan air should be going away.
We still could see an average Atlantic hurricane season before it is
over. There is a decent disturbance in the eastern Atlantic, south
of the Cape Verde Islands. It is still in the vicinity of all that
dry, dusty Saharan air. It probably won't develop until it outruns
that.

TORNADO FATALITIES: We have had a very good year in the tornado
fatality department. So far, there have been 21 tornado deaths in the
U.S. this year. This compares favorably to 35 through the same period
last year, a year that saw us finish at 38. 2007 saw 81 tornado
fatalities. If we could hold at 21, it would be the second fewest
tornado deaths since modern tornado records began in 1950.

ON THIS DATE IN 2005: Air France Flight 358, an Airbus A340-300, was
on approach to Toronto's Rearson International Airport. A severe
thunderstorm warning was in effect for the city. It had been a rough
weather day, and the airport had been closed several times. As the
plane landed in windy, rainy conditions, the plane overran the end of
the runway and broke into pieces in a ravine. All 309 passengers and
crew escaped before the plane exploded in flames and burned. Only 43
people were injured, and the injuries were described as minor.
Several factors were initially listed as having probable cause in the
flight. Wind shear was possibly a problem. Hydroplaning on the
runway could have been a problem. There were repos that lightning may
have struck the plane as it was landing. Other reports said that the
crew had overshot the landing zone and did not have time to stop.
Discussions after the incident indicated that the gully at the end of
the runway needed to be filled in to provide a longer safe zone. If
you enjoy historical weather information, follow my weather tweets. I
am @wxhistorian at Twitter.com.

Bill Murray
bill.murray@theweathercompany.com

ABC 33/40 7 Day Planner: http://cfc.abc3340.com/abc3340/7day.cfm
ABC 33/40 Weather Blog: http://www.alabamawx.com

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TONIGHT
Becoming partly cloudy. Patchy fog.
Morning Low 72
WIND: SW/W 6-12

MONDAY
Partly cloudy. Storms become more isolated. Hotter.
Morning Low 71 Afternoon High 91
WIND: SW 6-12

TUESDAY
Partly cloudy and hot. An isolated PM storm possible.
Morning Low 72 Afternoon High 92
WIND: SW 6-12

WEDNESDAY
Partly cloudy and hot. Slight chance of an afternoon storm.
Morning Low 71 Afternoon High 93
WIND: SW 6-12

THURSDAY
A slightly better chance of a shower or storm.
Morning Low 72 Afternoon High 88
WIND: SW 6-12

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