ABC 33/40 E-Forecast

ABC 33/40 E-FORECAST
Afternoon Edition For Monday August 10, 2009
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...Scattered Thunderstorms...

MUGGY IS THE WORD: We watch the old dew point like a hawk in summer
because it is the key indicator of how much moisture is in the air--
much more useful than relative humidity. This afternoon the dew point
was in the 70s over all of the state including some mid 70s in some
sections. Meanwhile, the actual air temperature was 90 or above in
most locations. The heat index had reached 100 or higher in places
like Evergreen, Montgomery and in the upper 90s over the north. Dothan
was reporting 95 degrees with a heat index of 105 at 2:00. That
temperature still seems a bit high.

THUNDERSTORMS: Some scattered ones were beginning to develop mainly
across Central Alabama this afternoon. Looking to the NW we have a
weak frontal boundary pushing into Kansas ever so slowly. The morning
GFS model indicates that this boundary will finally reach Central
Alabama and stall by late Thursday or Friday morning. It should start
pushing back northward Saturday, so what does all this mean? That,
along with an upper-level disturbance, should increase our showers and
thunderstorms later Tuesday afternoon and Tuesday night. We look for a
good chance of showers and thunderstorms on Wednesday and some of
those could be locally strong. After that, we think there will be a
decrease in the number of storms Thursday and Friday. There could be a
very slight drop in humidity Thursday and Friday, but not enough to
write home about.

RAIN AMOUNTS: That is always a crucial question and point of interest
in Alabama in summer. The new NAM model presents us with just under 1
inch between now and Thursday morning. The GFS is almost as generous,
so we will go for that.

AT THE BEACH: Not the best of weather with a good chance of showers
and thunderstorms Tuesday and Wednesday and about a 40% chance
Thursday and Friday. High temperatures range between 88-90.

TROPICAL WEATHER: A tropical wave was near the Windward Islands
moving west at 10-15. Meanwhile, way out in the Atlantic not far off
the African coast, showers and storms were diminishing in that
disturbance. However, conditions still appear favourable for eventual
development. It may become a tropical depression during the next
couple of days. There is a chance it could become the first named
storm (Ana) in the next 48 hours.

TYPHOON MORAKOT: A real human tragedy. It caused a huge mudslide that
buried about 600 people in a mountain village in South Taiwan. Many
are still missing. Most of the village was buried. It then went into
Eastern China where they evacuated about one million people.

SIGNS OF AUTUMN: Not really, but the NWS in Fairbanks advises there
could be frost in the outlying area tonight. It was 29 this morning in
Eagle, Alaska. Hottest in the USA Sunday was 112 in Death Valley.
Imagine this: 101 below zero today at Vostok, Antarctica. The wind
chill may be as low as 140 below the next couple of days and they are
expecting an actual temperature of 130 below Sunday night.

MY TINY CORNER OF THE WORLD: If you happen to see Little Miss Molly
and she is griping about not having enough ballgames, please call her
a liar. Even my tongue was hanging out over the weekend from vicious
games. She finally crawled out of bed early this morning and the first
thing she wanted to do, even before going to the bathroom, was to play
ball. She never, ever gets enough. She is almost 7 years old and has
not slowed down one bit. Yesterday three neighborhood kids came in to
play with Sir Alex. She insisted on greeting everyone individually and
leaping high off the floor. Life goes on.

J. B. Elliott
jb.elliott@theweathercompany.com

ABC 33/40 7 Day Planner: http://cfc.abc3340.com/abc3340/7day.cfm
ABC 33/40 Weather Blog: http://www.alabamawx.com

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Our Hope In Difficult Times

We all struggle. A family in turmoil, job loss, health issues, a mess we
helped create. We live in difficult times.

Facing tough times is different with Jesus Christ than without Him.
Does that sound too "churchy?" Too easy? Don't be dismayed or misled.

Our Hope In Difficult Times is a new sermon series beginning on Sunday,
August 16 at Hunter Street Baptist Church. There is hope. You don't
have to struggle alone.

Join us this Sunday at Hunter Street, 2600 John Hawkins Parkway in
Hoover. Visit http://www.hunterstreet.org or call 205.985.7295.
=========================================================

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TONIGHT
Scattered thunderstorms through this evening.
Morning Low 73
WIND: W 4-7

TUESDAY
Partly sunny. Scattered showers and thunderstorms, especially
afternoon and night.
Morning Low 73 Afternoon High 92
WIND: W 5-10

WEDNESDAY
A good chance of showers and thunderstorms. A few strong storms.
Morning Low 73 Afternoon High 89
WIND: NW 5-10

THURSDAY
Partly sunny. A few showers and thunderstorms.
Morning Low 69 Afternoon High 90
WIND: N 5-10

FRIDAY
Widely scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Morning Low 72 Afternoon High 90
WIND: NE 4-7

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