ABC 33/40 E-Forecast

ABC 33/40 E-FORECAST
Afternoon Edition For Friday August 28, 2009
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...A Mixed Up Weather Pattern...

NICE CHANGE TO COOLER MONDAY: An upper level low-pressure area can
cause a lot of headaches for weather forecasters. A few days ago, an
upper low formed over South Louisiana and started moving south. It
looped around across the Northern Gulf of Mexico. In doing so, it
dispatched a lot of very moist air inland, which translated to showers
and thunderstorms. We saw a distinct example of that yesterday when
showers and thunderstorms became fairly numerous. Early this morning,
that same upper level low was over the SE corner of Alabama and NW
Florida. It was still sending lots of showers and thunderstorms
northward, but overnight the main areas getting those were near the
Georgia/Alabama border, but more so in West Georgia.

By this afternoon, the main action had shifted further east into East
Georgia and part of South Carolina. Showers across Alabama had thinned
out a great deal this afternoon. As I usually ask, what does all this
maneuvering mean for Alabama? We have to look to our northwest where
another frontal boundary is looking longingly to visit us. It should
be near the NW corner of Alabama early Saturday. By Sunday morning it
should be nearly stalled over South Alabama and by Monday morning
completely stalled along the coast. This scenario probably means the
following: scattered showers and thunderstorms on Saturday with the
best chance afternoon and evening. By Sunday the scattered showers and
thunderstorms will have a better chance over the south half of
Alabama. Finally, less humid dry weather for Monday and Tuesday.
Even our most trusted weather models have not shaken hands over this
deal. At least one of those keeps a good chance of showers and
thunderstorms even into Sunday.

HOW COOL WILL IT GET? We look for upper 50s Monday morning and mid
50s Tuesday morning. There could even be some lows around 48 in NE
Alabama Tuesday morning.

FOOTBALL WEATHER: About a 1 in 3 chance of a thunderstorm at any one
stadium during the high school games tonight. Of course, lightning is
the main issue and should never be taken lightly.

TROPICAL WEATHER: Tropical Storm Danny is still expected to stay off
shore as he moves north and then curves toward the NE, but he may come
very close to the Maine coast and Cape Cod late in the weekend. At
2:00 this afternoon, sustained winds were down to 40 mph. Meanwhile,
over halfway across the Atlantic, a broad area of low pressure was 900
miles WSW of the southernmost Cape Verde Islands. The NHC says
conditions are favourable for slow development over the next couple of
days as it moves west about 15 mph. They place a 30-50% chance for
this one becoming a named tropical storm that would be Erika. After
Erika comes Fred. James Spann has jokingly said it might be a big one.

MISCELLANEOUS: I still wish people would stop tailgating my beloved
96 Olds—the best car I have ever owned. ¼ inch of rain yesterday at
San Antonio and a whopping 1.42 inches at Austin in the heart of the
most severe drought. Surely University of Texas students were dancing
in the streets. The place I would like to be today is at Nootka
Lighthouse, British Columbia with occasional light rain and 59
degrees. It was 25 degrees at Chandalar Lake, Alaska for the coldest
in the USA.

MY TINY CORNER OF THE WORLD: Our great grandchildren, ages 2 and 1,
were with us yesterday afternoon and last night. Translation: poor
little Miss Molly had to go nap-less. In fact, she spent hours
trying to stay out of the way. At one time, they were throwing their
toys at Molly (they were punished for doing that). When she finally
turned in to the king-size bed toward midnight, she slept until noon
today. So if have not had a chance to talk with her or love her, but I
will catch up. I am recovering from a fall and a stiff neck, but life
goes on.

J. B. Elliott
jb.elliott@theweathercompany.com

ABC 33/40 7 Day Planner: http://cfc.abc3340.com/abc3340/7day.cfm
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TONIGHT
Partly cloudy. Scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Morning Low 67
WIND: SE 4-6

SATURDAY
Scattered showers and thunderstorms, best chance afternoon and evening.
Morning Low 67 Afternoon High 86
WIND: W 7-14

SUNDAY
Partly sunny with scattered showers and thunderstorms, mainly south of
Birmingham.
Morning Low 66 Afternoon High 82
WIND: NW 7-14

MONDAY
Partly sunny and less humid. A cool early morning.
Morning Low 59 Afternoon High 81
WIND: N 6-12

TUESDAY
Sunny with low humidity.
Morning Low 57 Afternoon High 83
WIND: NE 5-10

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