ABC 33/40 E-Forecast

ABC 33/40 E-FORECAST
Morning Edition For Wednesday August 26, 2009
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...Moisture Levels Increasing...

FEELING LIKE AUGUST AGAIN: Rising heat and humidity levels will remind
us that this is still August in Alabama. We are forecasting afternoon
high temperatures in the 88 to 91 degree range today, and with
dewpoints rising into the mid to upper 60s, the afternoon warmth will
be a little more sticky. An isolated shower could pop up on radar
somewhere around here this afternoon, but the chance of any one spot
getting is so small we won't mention it in our formal forecast. We
will introduce the chance of widely scattered showers tomorrow as
moisture levels continue to increase.

FRIDAY AND THE WEEKEND: Deeper moisture on Friday and Saturday will
mean the risk of a few scattered showers and thunderstorms both days.
No all-day rain or a wash-out, but keep in mind a few passing showers
are possible. The chance of any one high school stadium seeing a
shower Friday night is about one in four. A cold front will pass
through here late Saturday night or early Sunday, followed by another
nice surge of dry continental air from the north. We will mention the
risk of a stray shower Sunday morning, but the sky will become partly
sunny Sunday afternoon as the dry air takes over.

The first half of next week looks very comfortable, with mostly sunny
days and pleasantly cool nights. There is a pretty decent chance we
wind up in the upper 50s again by Monday and Tuesday morning, with
highs only in the low to mid 80s.

TROPICS: A disturbance in the Atlantic east of the Bahamas and north
of the Virgin Islands is forecast to become a tropical depression
today, and possibly Tropical Storm Danny by Friday. This system is
expected to follow a track almost identical to that of Hurricane Bill
last week; it will recurve just off the East Coast of the U.S.,
brushing by the Canadian Maritimes this weekend, perhaps as a minimal
hurricane. Elsewhere, the Atlantic basin is relatively quiet.

FOUR YEARS AGO: Early on Friday morning, August 26, 2005, Tropical
Storm Katrina was completing her short traversal of the southern end
of the Florida Peninsula and emerging over the Gulf of Mexico. The
storm briefly weakened from hurricane strength to tropical storm
intensity for just a few hours. Moving just south of due west,
Katrina emerged into the Gulf of Mexico about 2 a.m. CDT. Within four
hours, the storm had regained hurricane strength and entered a period
of rapid deepening. The morning forecast package indicated that the
hurricane would turn northwest and then north, making a second
landfall near Panama City, Florida in about 72 hours. Through the day,
the hurricane's central pressure dropped from 987 millibars to 965
millibars by late afternoon and top winds increased to 100 mph. The
late afternoon forecast package shifted the official track 150 miles
to the west, with a projected landfall just west of Mobile.
Forecasters cautioned that the track was still very uncertain, and
that the models were actually beginning to agree on an even more
westerly landfall in southeastern Louisiana.

James Spann
jspann@abc3340.com

ABC 33/40 7 Day Planner: http://cfc.abc3340.com/abc3340/7day.cfm
ABC 33/40 Weather Blog: http://www.alabamawx.com

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TODAY
Partly to mostly sunny.
Afternoon High 89
WIND: SE 5-10

THURSDAY
Partly sunny. Widely scattered showers or storms.
Morning Low 68 Afternoon High 89
WIND: SE 5-10

FRIDAY
Mixed sun and clouds. A few scattered showers or storms.
Morning Low 69 Afternoon High 87
WIND: S 6-12

SATURDAY
Occasionally cloudy with scattered showers or thunderstorms.
Morning Low 67 Afternoon High 86
WIND: SW 6-12

SUNDAY
A stray shower possible during the morning; becoming partly sunny.
Morning Low 66 Afternoon High 85
WIND: N 6-12

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