ABC 33/40 E-Forecast

ABC 33/40 E-FORECAST
Morning Edition For Monday August 17, 2009
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...Claudette Brings Rain, Storms Our Way...

Tropical Storm Claudette moved inland on the Northwest Florida coast
late last night with maximum winds of 50 mph. The center moved inland
just near Fort Walton Beach. Now the focus turns to the potential for
heavy rains and tornadoes today and the center of the decaying cyclone
makes its way into West Alabama.

RAIN AND STORMS: As instability levels rise with the heating of the
day today, spiral bands of tropical showers and thunderstorms will
form. Those showers will be capable of putting down copious amounts
of rainfall in a short period of time. Look for between one inch of
rain on average across mid-sections of the state, with some spots
getting two inches. South Central sections will get a little more.
Fortunately, flash flooding thresholds are pretty high, so hopefully
that will not be a problem. In fact, lawns and gardens around the
area are about ready for a nice drink of rain.

There will be quite a bit of spin in the atmosphere, obviously, so any
stout updrafts that get going will have the potential to rotate and
could produce small spin up tornadoes. They are quick hitting and
usually short lived, but they can produce some damage, so be alert as
the spiral bands rotate over your location today and tonight. It will
be breezy today across Central Alabama, with southeasterly winds
averaging 10-20 mph with occasional gusts to 30 mph or higher.
Temperatures will top out in the lower and middle 80s, but it will
feel quite humid.

TONIGHT: By this evening, the depression that is the remnants of
Claudette will be on the Alabama/Mississippi border southwest of
Tuscaloosa. Rain and storms will continue to the east of the
weakening low. There could be some left over rotating storms and the
potentials problems they bring.

REST OF THE WEEK: We will still find ourselves in a soupy airmass
Tuesday as Claudette heads into North Mississippi. This means the
chance of more showers and storms. The activity should diminish for
Wednesday. The remnants of Ana could increase showers for Thursday.
Look for decent rain chances again for Friday as a front
approaches. Storms likely Saturday.

ANA/BILL: Ana pretty much fizzled overnight, but Bill was gaining
steam. In fact, by the time that you read this, Bill will likely be a
hurricane, well on his way to becoming a major (category three or
higher) hurricane. Bill will turn out to sea but could threaten Nova
Scotia by the weekend. Ana's remnants could end up in the Gulf by
Wednesday night and could regenerate. It's too early to tell.

WEATHERBRAINS EPISODE 186: Tonight is the 40th anniversary of
Camille. Weather Jack Williams joins us to help examine this historic
storm tonight on WeatherBrains. Get the latest daily news and notes
about the podcast that's all about weather by going to www.Twitter.com/WeatherBrains
. Learn about future guests and get special show information.

ON THIS DATE IN 1915: After the Galveston Hurricane of 1900, the
city built a seawall 17 feet above sea level and 5 miles long. The
next hurricane to hit Galveston occurred on this date with winds
gusting to 120 mph. The storm surge reached 12 feet. 275 fatalities
resulted, in stark contrast to the 6,000 deaths in the 1900 storm.
Only 10% of the 250 homes remaining outside the seawall survived. Are
you on Twitter? Follow my weather history tweets @wxhistorian.

Bill Murray
bill.murray@theweathercompany.com

ABC 33/40 7 Day Planner: http://cfc.abc3340.com/abc3340/7day.cfm
ABC 33/40 Weather Blog: http://www.alabamawx.com

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TODAY
Mostly cloudy and breezy. Showers and storms developing. Some could
be severe with spin up tornadoes.
Afternoon High 85
WIND: SE 10-15 G30

TUESDAY
Partly sunny. A fairly good chance of showers and storms again.
Morning Low 73 Afternoon High 87
WIND: S 6-12

WEDNESDAY
Partly cloudy with a chance of mainly afternoon and evening showers
and storms.
Morning Low 72 Afternoon High 90
WIND: S 5-10

THURSDAY
Partly sunny. Scattered showers and storms.
Morning Low 73 Afternoon High 91
WIND: S 5-10

FRIDAY
Partly sunny. Showers and storms a little more numerous.
Morning Low 74 Afternoon High 90
WIND: SW 6-12

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