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Tuesday, August 04, 2009

ABC 33/40 E-Forecast

ABC 33/40 E-FORECAST
Morning Edition For Tuesday August 4, 2009
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...Heating Up...

Showers and storms were as scarce as hen's teeth across North and
Central Alabama on Monday. A couple of illegal ones, as J.B. calls
them, did pop up during the strong heating of the afternoon, but they
quickly died off.

STORMS TODAY? We remain in a northwesterly flow aloft, on the back
side of the retreating East Coast trough. This could very well allow
some thunderstorms to roll into Alabama from the northwest, so be on
the lookout for that possibility. But we aren't certain that will
happen. We will start off sunny and temperatures will soar into the
lower and middle 90s fairly quickly. If we don't get a storm complex,
I think any other storms that form will be isolated at best.

REST OF THE WEEK: We will look to the northwest again tomorrow for
the best chance of storms. If a complex does not materialize, then
storms should be isolated again. By Thursday, there are signs that
shower and storms chances will go up. By Friday, the pattern will
change, as a large upper level high pressure system develops over the
southeastern United States. At the same time, the subtropical high
over the Atlantic will be shoved back toward Florida, allowing for a
typical summertime flow and conditions here.

BEACH FORECAST: For the next seven days along the beautiful beaches
of Alabama and Northwest Florida…fairly typical August fare…partly
cloudy skies…only a slight chance of a daily thunderstorm…10-12 hours
of sun each day…lower 90s for highs…mid 70s for lows…decent southerly
wind and sea breeze…1-2 foot waves…warm seawater…

JUPITER'S BLACK EYE: Am I the only one concerned that scientists and
astronomers still aren't sure what hit Jupiter two weeks ago? The
uncategorized, untracked quarter mile wide object struck the planet on
July 19th. If something like that hit the earth, there would be a
tremendous impact. If it landed in an ocean, there would be a
devastating tsunami. On land, the explosion would eject a tremendous
amount of material into the atmosphere. Unthinkable.

HOMEWORK: Our goal as meteorologists is to deliver the best
forecasts and warnings that we can. Having said that, the end users
of our products are a diverse group. It is critical that we
understand their needs and how they like their weather information
delivered. We will be spending a lot of time over the next several
months on the socials sciences side of our business, trying to
understand how meteorology can work hand in hand with the
psychologists and sociologists to improve our product. Hop over to
the blog at www.AlabamaWX.com today and answer a few questions if you
don't mind…

ON THIS DATE IN 1980: Dallas Texas finally saw its incredible string
of 42 straight days with temperatures over 100 degrees broken on this
date. There would be 18 more 100 plus days in August and 4 more in
September. The month of July was the hottest ever in the Big D.
There would be no measurable rain in the month at Dallas. The
tremendous heat wave and drought that summer killed 1200 people across
the nation. Losses reached $200 million. Follow my weather history
tweets @wxhistorian.

Bill Murray
bill.murray@theweathercompany.com

ABC 33/40 7 Day Planner: http://cfc.abc3340.com/abc3340/7day.cfm
ABC 33/40 Weather Blog: http://www.alabamawx.com

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TODAY
Becoming partly cloudy. Hot. Only isolated storms. Outside chance
of a storm complex moving in from the northwest.
Afternoon High 94
WIND: SW 6-12

WEDNESDAY
Partly cloudy and hot. An isolated afternoon storm. A better chance
overnight.
Morning Low 73 Afternoon High 94
WIND: W/NW 5-10

THURSDAY
A chance of showers and storms.
Morning Low 73 Afternoon High 90
WIND: S 5-10

FRIDAY
Partly sunny. Scattered showers and storms.
Morning Low 72 Afternoon High 93
WIND: S 5-10

SATURDAY
Partly sunny. A slight chance of mainly afternoon and evening storms.
Morning Low 72 Afternoon High 93
WIND: S 5-10

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8:00pm Dating in the Dark
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