ABC 33/40 E-Forecast

ABC 33/40 E-FORECAST
Morning Edition For Tuesday July 28, 2009
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...Beneficial Rain Possible Through Friday...

OUR WEATHER TURNING WET: Sure looks like an excellent chance for
beneficial rain for Alabama for the next three to five days. There is
good potential for over three inches of rain for most communities,
with totals over five inches in spots between now and Friday. It
usually takes a hurricane or tropical storm to generate these kind of
rain totals in our state this time of the year. An unusually strong
upper trough for mid-summer lingers over the eastern half of the
nation this week, and a series of waves riding through the trough will
bring periods of showers and thunderstorms. The rain won't be
continuous, and the sun should peek through at times, but our weather
sure looks wet through the end of the week. And, with the clouds and
rain, daytime temperatures will remain below average, with highs
mostly in the mid 80s.

A few strong storms are possible along the way, but for now we don't
expect a major severe weather threat due to limited instability values
with marginal wind fields.

WEEKEND PREVIEW: High pressure aloft will try to build across Alabama
and the Deep South over the weekend, so showers and storms could be a
little more scattered on Saturday and Sunday with afternoon highs in
the upper 80s, possibly touching 90 in spots.

TROPICAL WEATHER UPDATE: An amazing quiet pattern continues across the
Atlantic basin, and much of the tropical oceans globally, and tropical
storm formation around here is not expected through the rest of the
week. But, remember the core of the season is yet to come; tropical
activity usually peaks in August, September, and early October.

PEAK OF THE SUMMER HEAT: Based on long term weather averages, this is
the hottest part of the summer in Alabama. Our average high is 91, and
the average low is 70 from July 13 through August 10. The average low
drops one degree, to 69, on August 11. For a real cool thought, the
average high drops to 70, and the average low 46 at the end of October
on Halloween, during the middle of the "golden days of fall".

2009 RAIN UPDATE: Birmingham's rain total for the year so far is
36.03", giving us a surplus of two and a half inches (2.49" to be
exact).
The rain total for the month of July is 6.45", and we will be adding
to those numbers each day for the rest of the week.

ON THIS DATE IN 1819: Bay St. Louis Hurricane makes landfall on the
Mississippi Coast. The storm was the worst in 50 years and devastated
the same area that hurricane Camille would strike almost exactly 150
years later. 39 crew members of the U.S. Man-of-War Firebrand were
lost when the schooner was sunk by the storm.

James Spann
jspann@abc3340.com

ABC 33/40 7 Day Planner: http://cfc.abc3340.com/abc3340/7day.cfm
ABC 33/40 Weather Blog: http://www.alabamawx.com

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TODAY
Mostly cloudy with a good chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Afternoon High 85
WIND: SW 7-14

WEDNESDAY
Occasional showers and a few thunderstorms.
Morning Low 71 Afternoon High 85
WIND: SW 7-14

THURSDAY
More clouds than sun. Developing showers and thunderstorms.
Morning Low 73 Afternoon High 87
WIND: SW 6-12

FRIDAY
Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms.
Morning Low 74 Afternoon High 87
WIND: SW 6-12

SATURDAY
Mixed sun and clouds. Scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Morning Low 72 Afternoon High 88
WIND: SW 6-12

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