ABC 33/40 E-Forecast

ABC 33/40 E-FORECAST
Afternoon Edition For Wednesday July 22, 2009
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..Several Days of Dry Weather...

AFTERNOONS GRADUALLY GETTING HOTTER: We are actually in rather good
shape around Alabama as far as our rain scorecard is concerned. At
Birmingham Airport, the surplus for 2009 is slightly over 3 inches and
Lake Purdy, the metro area main water supply, is completely full.

We had some good rain amounts during the night as a wide band of
showers and some thunderstorms took its time to get across the state.
We list only a few of the heavier amounts:

1.47 Coker (West Tuscaloosa County)
0.76 Huntsville/UAH
2.60 Brilliant in SE Marion County
0.73 Smith Dam
1.26 Decatur

Most of those showers exited Alabama early this afternoon. Now we look
to the northwest where a weak front was headed our way. By daybreak,
it should be in Central Alabama and finally all the way down to South
Alabama by Friday morning. (How many times have you heard that lately?
It has been a recurring pattern.)

So what does all of this maneuvering of fronts mean? It means
generally dry weather for the next three days, although there could be
an isolated shower on Saturday. There should be an increase in showers
and thunderstorms on Sunday, but latest model runs seem to indicate
that our best chance of showers and thunderstorms will be on Monday
and Tuesday. By Friday and Saturday, the old thermometer will be going
back into the lower 90s.

Just be glad we are not reliving July 1952. We had bad heat waves that
summer and a repeat two years later in 1954. In July 1952, Birmingham
had nine days with temperatures over 100 including seven in a row and
four days 105 and hotter. We only got 1.11 inches of rain all month.

AT THE BEACH: With a front expected to stall out near the coast by
late Friday, we can expect some scattered showers and thunderstorms
almost every day through the weekend. It will not be an all day rain
and high temperatures will back off to the upper 80s even inland.

TROPICAL WEATHER: Two systems off the SE U.S. coast and in the
Bahamas are so close together that they seem to be merging. The larger
area is centered a few hundred miles east of the USA coast. It should
move northward or NE at about 20 mph over the next day or so. NHC
still expects a low chance of any tropical development—at least over
the next 48 hours or more.

FINAL THOUGHTS: The SPC has only a slight risk for severe weather
this afternoon and tonight over Western Nebraska and NE Colorado. For
tomorrow the risk is confined almost entirely to Minnesota. What a
neat summer Saranac Lake, New York is experiencing. That resort town
in the NE part of the state has only averaged 70.6 degrees for their
high temperature in the first 21 days of July with the low averaging
48.1. The thermometer has not reached 80 a single time. Measurable
rain on 15 of 21 days so far. Hot spot Tuesday was 120 in Death Valley
and the chilly spots this morning 37 in Kremling, Colorado and 35 at
Barter Island, Alaska.

MY TINY CORNER OF THE WORLD: A real blast today in our living area
and Molly had an absolute ball. My fireman son came by. He is almost
like a kid at times. He got down in the floor with my 15-year-old
grandson, my granddaughter and two great grandkids and they were
tossing balls all over the room. The air was full of balls. Molly was
running in all directions at breakneck speed trying to get her share
of the balls and also trying to avoid being hit. This went on for over
an hour. Every living creature was exhausted when it was over. It was
fun to watch. Life goes on. J. B. Elliott

J. B. Elliott
jb.elliott@theweathercompany.com

ABC 33/40 7 Day Planner: http://cfc.abc3340.com/abc3340/7day.cfm
ABC 33/40 Weather Blog: http://www.alabamawx.com

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TONIGHT
Fair, but a small chance of an evening thunderstorm.
Morning Low 66
WIND: W 4-6

THURSDAY
Partly sunny.
Morning Low 66 Afternoon High 89
WIND: NW 6-12

FRIDAY
A hotter afternoon. Mostly sunshine.
Morning Low 64 Afternoon High 91
WIND: N 6-12

SATURDAY
Partly sunny and hot. An isolated afternoon shower.
Morning Low 67 Afternoon High 92
WIND: SW 5-10

SUNDAY
Scattered showers and thunderstorms—mostly afternoon.
Morning Low 70 Afternoon High 89
WIND: SW 6-12

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