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Tuesday, July 21, 2009

ABC 33/40 E-Forecast

ABC 33/40 E-FORECAST
Morning Edition For Tuesday July 21, 2009
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...Showers Return Tomorrow...

MOIST AIR SLOWLY RETURNS: After a remarkable series of days in which
we have enjoyed record lows, low humidity levels, and excellent
visibility thanks to the lack of summer haze, moist air will begin to
return to Alabama late today and tonight ahead of another surface cold
front to the west. A few showers should enter West Alabama, perhaps
reaching Birmingham by midnight, and East Alabama after midnight.
Then, we will forecast a good chance of showers and storms statewide
tomorrow as the front passes through. We figure most places will see
somewhere between 1/4 and 1/2 inch of rain during the next 48 hours,
but as always with summer convection a few spots could see heavier
totals. The showers should end tomorrow evening as the next surge of
dry air arrives.

For now, the chance of rain looks relatively low on Thursday and
Friday, but we will be in a northwest flow aloft, and we always have
to watch for thunderstorm masses than organized over Missouri and
Arkansas that ultimately roll into our state without much warning.
Temperatures will be warmer, with upper 80s on Thursday, and low 90s
on Friday.

THE WEEKEND: Another surface boundary will approach the state
Saturday, meaning an increased risk of showers and storms as we begin
the weekend. It won't rain all day, of course, but a passing shower
or storm looks like a fairly decent possibility now. And, it looks
like this front will hang up somewhere over North Alabama, which will
prolong the risk of scattered showers and storms into Sunday and the
firs few days of next week. Looks like highs mostly in the upper 80s
over the weekend.

TROPICS: A tropical wave is moving into the eastern Caribbean this
morning, but hostile upper air winds will make a for a rough ride in
coming days. In fact, the system could dissipate during the next 48
hours, but we will keep an eye on it just in case. The rest of the
Atlantic basin, for now, remains quiet.

JULY CHILL: Very interesting to note that 49 degree low at DeSoto
State Park in DeKalb County yesterday morning. The lowest temperature
ever seen in Birmingham is 51 degrees, recorded on July 15, 1967. We
were within 8 degrees of that all time record yesterday when the
official low was 59 degrees. It rarely gets this cool in July in
Alabama.

WEATHERBRAINS: Our weekly Internet show rolls along; this week's new
show, which was posted last night, features Dr. Thomas Schmidlin from
Kent State University, and the subject is tornado safety and
automobiles. Schmidlin's research recommends that instead of leaving
your vehicle if you find yourself being overtaken by a tornado with no
shelter available, that the car provided more safety than being
outside in the open, even in a ditch. This, of course, goes against
conventional and traditional advice. You can hear the show on iTunes,
and on the web at weatherbrains.com.

James Spann
jspann@abc3340.com

ABC 33/40 7 Day Planner: http://cfc.abc3340.com/abc3340/7day.cfm
ABC 33/40 Weather Blog: http://www.alabamawx.com

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TODAY
Partly sunny. Clouds increase tonight, with a few showers possible.
Afternoon High 87
WIND: SE 5-10

WEDNESDAY
Mostly cloudy with a good chance of showers or storms.
Morning Low 69 Afternoon High 85
WIND: W 6-12

THURSDAY
Partly to mostly sunny. Only a small risk of a shower.
Morning Low 64 Afternoon High 88
WIND: NW 6-12

FRIDAY
A good supply of sunshine. Any showers should be isolated.
Morning Low 63 Afternoon High 91
WIND: NE 5-10

SATURDAY
Mixed sun and clouds. Scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Morning Low 70 Afternoon High 89
WIND: SW 6-12

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Tonight on ABC 33/40

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