ABC 33/40 E-Forecast

ABC 33/40 E-FORECAST
Morning Edition For Wednesday June 17, 2009
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...Hottest Weather So Far In 2009...

SUMMER HEAT IS THE STORY: While the official arrival of summer (in
terms of astronomy) is still four days away, we are well into
meteorological summer (June, July, and August), and it will certainly
feel like it today. An upper air ridge is parked over Alabama, meaning
we can expect mostly dry and hot weather through Friday. The good news
is that we have excellent soil moisture thanks to the recent storms,
and that will keep the heat from running away from us. Most of the
statistical guidance suggests a high in the upper 90s today, but we
will have about 4 degrees off that because part of the sun's energy
will have to evaporate the soil moisture, taking away from the energy
that would be heating the ground, which in turn heats the air.

While there is always some risk of a pop-up thunderstorm on a hot
summer afternoon in Alabama, the odds of any one spot getting wet are
so small through Friday that we won't mention it in our formal
forecast. The best chance of a storm late today will be over the
northeast corner of the state, mainly over Jackson and DeKalb
counties. The organized thunderstorm areas will remain north of the
state, where more severe weather is possible from Missouri east to the
Atlantic coast.

WHAT ABOUT THE WEEKEND? The upper ridge will be suppressed a bit by
Saturday thanks to a developing upper trough over the eastern third of
the nation, and that should allow a surface boundary (we don't like to
call them cold fronts in June) in here, and accordingly we figure that
scattered showers and storms will return on Saturday and Sunday. Heat
levels will also back down; we expect a high close to 90 on Saturday,
followed by upper 80s on Sunday. There will be intervals of sunshine
both days away from the showers and storms.

AT THE BEACH: Very nice weather continues along the Central Gulf coast
through Friday, with mostly sunny days and clear nights. Highs along
the immediate coast will be in the mid to upper 80s, with mid 90s
likely for inland areas. A few showers or storms could show up over
the weekend, but they should be widely scattered, and both days should
still feature a good supply of sunshine. The ocean water temperature
at the Dauphin Island Sea Lab last night was a warm 88 degrees, and
there is no sign of any tropical storm formation.

TRIPLE DIGIT HEAT: We saw triple digits in Alabama for the first time
yesterday; the hottest place was Dothan with a sizzling 101 degrees.
Montgomery was close behind with 99. Birmingham's official high was 92
degrees.

ON THIS DATE IN 1978: The "Whippoorwill" Disaster. A weak tornado
struck a showboat on Pomona Lake KS with 58 people aboard as it left
the dock for a dinner cruise. 16 people drowned as the boat capsized,
making the twister the deadliest tornado of the year.

James Spann
jspann@abc3340.com

ABC 33/40 7 Day Planner: http://cfc.abc3340.com/abc3340/7day.cfm
ABC 33/40 Weather Blog: http://www.alabamawx.com

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TODAY
Mostly sunny and hot.
Afternoon High 95
WIND: W 7-14

THURSDAY
Hot again with a good supply of sunshine.
Morning Low 72 Afternoon High 95
WIND: NW 7-14

FRIDAY
Partly to mostly sunny. Another hot afternoon.
Morning Low 72 Afternoon High 95
WIND: W 6-12

SATURDAY
Mixed sun and clouds. Not as hot with a chance of scattered showers
and thunderstorms.
Morning Low 73 Afternoon High 91
WIND: SW 6-12

SUNDAY
Partly sunny. A few scattered showers or thunderstorms.
Morning Low 70 Afternoon High 89
WIND: NW 6-12

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