ABC 33/40 E-Forecast

ABC 33/40 E-FORECAST
Morning Edition For Sunday June 14, 2009
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...More Storms Ahead?...

We were starting to get a little short in the rainfall department in
Birmingham before the storms of Friday and Saturday. Then we picked
up a third of an inch of rain Friday evening, and a little more than
an inch and a quarter from this morning's storms. We are back in the
surplus zone again at BHM. Most everyone across the northern half of
the state is around normal. Tuscaloosa and Huntsville are running
1.5-2 inches below normal. Mobile's deficit is approaching three
inches.

RAINY/STORMY SATURDAY: Persistent showers and storms trained east
southeastward for much of the morning and early afternoon on Saturday,
bringing steady rains to a wide area. There was plenty of lightning
and thunder to go around also. The activity formed in the battle zone
between cooler and drier continental high pressure over the Great
Lakes and a muggy, warm airmass over the Deep South. The continual
tug of war between these two airmasses has been going on for the
better part of a week.

MORE STORMS TODAY: Northwesterly flow situations like the one we are
in right now are notorious for shipping us clusters of thunderstorms.
This same pattern will continue through at least tomorrow, meaning we
will deal with a couple of rounds of showers and storms at some
point. It is hard to pinpoint, but be on he lookout for them through
Monday. Some of the storms could be on the strong side, with strong
winds and hail, as well as the typical heavy rains and deadly
lightning. Be inside before one of these storms heads your way.

THE WEEK AHEAD: A large upper level high will develop to our
southwest over the next few days. This will push the storm zone back
to the north, and return us to a more normal summer time pattern of
hot and hazy weather with widely scattered afternoon and evening
thunderstorms. Skies will be partly cloudy for the most part, and
the mercury will be heating up again, with highs back into the 90s.
Overnight lows will be in the muggy 70s.

SNEAK PEEK NEXT WEEKEND: Looking out seven days, it looks like we
might see a frontal system trying to push into the region next
weekend, accompanied by an increased chance of showers and storms. It
is still a little early to put much faith in the ol' crystal ball with
that prediction. We will just have to wait and see.

TROPICS: Everything in the tropical Atlantic is quiet for now. We
will be watching for an uptick the Madden-Julian Oscillation moving
across the Atlantic and into the Caribbean over the next few days.
This increased energy could lead to increased shower and thunderstorm
activity in those areas and make things a little more interesting.

ON THIS DATE IN 1999: Tremendous rains fell in a short period across
portions of the Birmingham metro area, producing significant flash
flooding. 5.88 inches of rain fell in less than an hour in the
Mountain Brook area. 4.85 inches of rain fell in an hour in nearby
Irondale.

Bill Murray
bill.murray@theweathercompany.com

ABC 33/40 7 Day Planner: http://cfc.abc3340.com/abc3340/7day.cfm
ABC 33/40 Weather Blog: http://www.alabamawx.com

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TODAY
Partly sunny and hot. Another round or two of storms possible.
Afternoon High 91
WIND: NW 5-10

MONDAY
Partly cloudy and hot. A chance of a shower or storm.
Morning Low 70 Afternoon High 92
WIND: NW 6-12

TUESDAY
Partly cloudy, hot and humid. Slight chance of an afternoon
thunderstorm.
Morning Low 71 Afternoon High 92
WIND: SW 6-12

WEDNESDAY
Partly cloudy. A slight chance of an afternoon storm.
Morning Low 72 Afternoon High 93
WIND: W/SW 6-12

THURSDAY
Partly cloudy and hot. A small chance of an afternoon storm.
Morning Low 72 Afternoon High 93
WIND: SW 6-12

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