ABC 33/40 E-Forecast

ABC 33/40 E-FORECAST
Morning Edition For Friday June 12, 2009
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...Moisture Returning...
Our weather seems to be mired in a warm, humid pattern for the time
being. The main feature on weather maps this morning continues to be a
front that is hanging out to our north, from northern Arkansas through
northern Tennessee. Aloft, a flat ridge covers the Deep South, with a
west to east flow. Little disturbances rippling along in the flow will
trigger showers and storms from time to time through the weekend
before a big bubble of high pressure develops over our area next week.

STRONG STORMS TODAY: That front to our north will sag southward into
the warm and humid airmass over the Deep South. Dewpoints are in the
upper 60s to near 70 across the area, which is high octane fuel for
storms. Storms will fire today, and will be aided by 30-40 mph of
vertical wind shear. This means the storms will be more organized that
your typical summertime pulse storms. This means they will hold
together long enough to produce hail and even some strong winds. Be
alter for these threats and the ubiquitous deadly lightning as well as
very heavy rain.

WEEKEND: The upper ridge will build to the west of Alabama by
Saturday, putting us in a northwesterly flow aloft. This will make us
susceptible to thunderstorm complexes associated with any disturbances
that form to our northwest, and I would suspect there will be at least
one or two Saturday and Sunday. The ridge will shift eastward, giving
us hotter and drier conditions by Monday.

TROPICS: The GFS is notorious for trying to develop phantom tropical
systems early in the Atlantic Hurricane Season. This year has been no
exception, with the model predicting various tropical low pressure
systems over the southwestern Caribbean for over a week now. Nothing
has developed yet, and development does not seem likely in the near
future, with strong wind shear in place over the Caribbean. An upward
pulse in the Madden-Julian Oscillation will give a little boost in
storm activity over the Caribbean next week, so things could get a
little more interesting then. It's still early, early in the season
with a long way to go to November 30th.

NOT A NEW CLOUD TYPE?!?! I learned to classify clouds from the
handbook for a Boy Scout Weather merit badge. There were stratus, or
flat clouds. There were cumulus, or puffy clouds. Middle clouds had
the prefix alto- attached to their name. High clouds had the prefix
cirro- attached to them. If a cloud was producing rain, the prefix
nimbo- was added. Now the Cloud Appreciation Society is lobbying the
Royal Meteorological Society to add another cloud type. The clouds,
which look very turbulent and don't seem to easily fit into the
existing classifications, have been named "asperatus." Not a good
idea. I think Luke Howard's classification is working just fine,
thank you. It has been in place for over 200 years. Down with new
cloud types.

ON THIS DATE IN 1942: A tornado smashed a 4 block area in the
southwest suburbs of Oklahoma City, OK. 35 people were killed. The
twister completely demolished 73 homes and damaged 31 others. This
twister ranks as the seventh most deadly ever in the state.

Bill Murray
bill.murray@theweathercompany.com

ABC 33/40 7 Day Planner: http://cfc.abc3340.com/abc3340/7day.cfm
ABC 33/40 Weather Blog: http://www.alabamawx.com

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TODAY
Warm and humid with thunderstorms developing. Some could be strong.
Afternoon High 90
WIND: W 6-12

SATURDAY
Mix of clouds and sun. A good chance of storms at some point during
the day.
Morning Low 71 Afternoon High 90
WIND: W 5-10

SUNDAY
Partly sunny. A complex of storms may move across the area.
Morning Low 70 Afternoon High 90
WIND: W/NW 6-12

MONDAY
Fewer showers, more sun. Hotter.
Morning Low 72 Afternoon High 92
WIND: SW 6-12

TUESDAY
Partly cloudy, hot and humid. Slight chance of a shower or storm.
Morning Low 74 Afternoon High 94
WIND: SW 6-12

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