ABC 33/40 E-Forecast

ABC 33/40 E-FORECAST
Morning Edition For Wednesday June 10, 2009
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...Edging Closer to Summer...

IN THE GOOD 'OL SUMMERTIME: Astronomically speaking, summer
doesn't officially begin until the early morning hours of June 21st
this year. But meteorologically speaking, we count June 1st as our
beginning of summer. We base that on their general climate trends,
which more closely match a June 1st transition. As we go deeper into
summer, weather patterns over the southern United States become more
diffuse, dominated by a semi-permanent high pressure system called the
Bermuda High. We get a persistent south-easterly wind flow that keeps
us warm and moist. The westerlies lift well to the north, taking the
storm track with it. We settle into a pattern of hot, hazy and humid
conditions that will continue until September.

ON THE WEATHER MAPS: We find a weak upper ridge of high pressure
over the northern Gulf states this morning, holding those westerlies
just to our north. At the southern edge of those westerlies, we find
a stationary front separating the relatively cool air to the north
from the warm, humid air to the south. The ridge will hold strong
today, but will weaken a bit as me move toward the end of the week.
This will allow the westerlies and the front to sag to the south a bit.

YOUR FORECAST: All this means that only isolated showers and storms
will be able to develop today across Central Alabama. Rain chances
will be one 1 in 5. There is a slightly better chance across the
Tennessee Valley, around 1 in 3. Thursday, it looks like a passing
disturbance will give a better chance of storms to North Alabama,
about 40-50%. Our rain chances stay at about 20%. On Friday, the
front will sag a little further south as a disturbance slips by, and
it looks like there will be a pretty good chance of rain over the
Tennessee Valley. In Central Alabama, rain chances will go up a bit,
to around 30-40%. More disturbances on Saturday and Sunday will keep
rain and storms in the forecast into the weekend, with our rain
chances about 30-40% each day.

TROPICS: The southwestern Caribbean and t he Gulf of Mexico are
favored spots for early season tropical cyclone development. We have
been monitoring convection to the east of Nicaragua for the past
couple of days, but it seems that the threat of a tropical low forming
in this area has diminished. No tropical cyclone formation is
expected this week, but we will continue to monitor the situation.

ON THIS DATE IN 1929: The first radiosonde was sent up by French
meteorologists. A radiosonde is a balloon that is released from a
ground station. It rises to a height of about 80,000 feet,
transmitting atmospheric conditions by radio back to the ground
station. Every upper air station releases its balloon at midnight and
noon Greenwich Mean Time so that meteorologists can have a
comprehensive snapshot of upper air conditions around the globe. The
balloon measures about five feet in diameter and is filled with
hydrogen. A cable that is about 100 feet long trails below the
balloon. The cable is so long because air movement around the balloon
cannot affect the readings. At the end of this cable is an instrument
package that contains a thermometer, hygrometer and barometer. As the
balloon ascends, it gradually expands and bursts at a height of about
80,000 feet. The package has a parachute to help it float back to
ground where instructions direct the finder to return it to the
Weather Service.

Bill Murray
bill.murray@theweathercompany.com

ABC 33/40 7 Day Planner: http://cfc.abc3340.com/abc3340/7day.cfm
ABC 33/40 Weather Blog: http://www.alabamawx.com

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TODAY
Partly sunny. A small risk of an afternoon storm.
Afternoon High 91
WIND: W 6-12

THURSDAY
Partly sunny. Widely scattered showers and storms.
Morning Low 70 Afternoon High 91
WIND: W 6-14

FRIDAY
Partly sunny. A slightly better chance of a PM storm.
Morning Low 70 Afternoon High 89
WIND: SW 7-15

SATURDAY
Partly sunny. Mainly afternoon and evening storms develop.
Morning Low 70 Afternoon High 87
WIND: SW 6-12

SUNDAY
Partly sunny. A chance of showers and storms.
Morning Low 70 Afternoon High 85
WIND: SW 6-12

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