ABC 33/40 E-Forecast

ABC 33/40 E-FORECAST
Morning Edition For Sunday June 7, 2009
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...Warm Sunday...

It was a beautiful June Saturday across Alabama yesterday. Skies were
generally mostly sunny to partly cloudy across the state. A low
pressure system over southeastern Georgia pumped some deeper moisture
into eastern sections of the state, giving places like Alexander City
and Auburn mostly cloudy skies for part of the day. Temperatures rose
in the middle and upper 80s across much of the area. Overnight lows
were mainly in the 60s.

FOR YOUR SUNDAY: Today will look a lot like Saturday, with a nice
amount of fair weather cumulus clouds. The low over Georgia has
weakened and the moisture has pulled a bit more to the east.
Consequently, it should be dry again today. Highs will be a couple of
degrees warmer, approaching 90 degrees in many spots.

THE WEEK AHEAD: By Monday, high pressure in the mid levels of the
atmosphere will be stationed over the western Gulf of Mexico. At the
surface, high pressure will be over the northern Gulf. This should
keep Alabama high and dry through then. A bit of a flat upper level
ridge of high pressure will remain over the southern U.S. as we head
into Tuesday, but a broad upper trough will be over the Great Lakes
states. Disturbances rippling along in the flow to the north will try
to push a frontal boundary to the south. Meanwhile, moisture levels
will be rising over Alabama. We could see a few widely scattered
showers and storms on Tuesday with the front in proximity and daytime
heating. The frontal boundary will set up shop to our north by
Wednesday and stay there into the weekend. This means a chance of
showers and storms through Saturday, with the best chances over the
Tennessee Valley.

TROPICAL TROUBLE? The southwestern Caribbean will be active over the
next seven days with lots of shower activity. A weak low pressure
system formed over that region yesterday. Eventually, we think that a
tropical low will form here in the week ahead. The prevailing opinion
has been that it will travel northeastward in the general direction of
Cuba and the Bahamas, but the GFS has been consistently trying to push
it more northward into the southern Gulf of Mexico. First storm: Ana.

HURRICANE SEASON FORECAST UPDATED: Indications are that an El Nino
pattern will develop over the Pacific over the coming month, which
encompass hurricane season. This tends to suppress North Atlantic
hurricane activity. Dr. William Gray's group out at Colorado State
have downgraded their seasonal forecast for the 2009 Atlantic
Hurricane Season. They are now calling for 11 named storms, 5
hurricanes and two major hurricanes. The long term average has been
10,6 and 2 respectively, but since 1995, we have averaged 15, 9 and 4.

ON THIS DATE IN 1692: Just before noon, a massive earthquake and
tsunami destroyed the town of Port Royal, Jamaica. Much of the 60 acre
island was consumed by the sea forever, leaving only 25 acres when the
disaster was over. Five thousand of the seven thousand people living
there died. Many believed it was God's wrath on a sinful city. Some
called it the Sodom of the Indies." The island became a Royal Navy
base for many years.

Bill Murray
bill.murray@theweathercompany.com

ABC 33/40 7 Day Planner: http://cfc.abc3340.com/abc3340/7day.cfm
ABC 33/40 Weather Blog: http://www.alabamawx.com

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TODAY
A good supply of sunshine with warm afternoon temperatures.
Afternoon High 89
WIND: SE 5-10

MONDAY
Partly cloudy and warm.
Morning Low 66 Afternoon High 90
WIND: SW 6-12

TUESDAY
Partly sunny. Warm and humid, with a few widely scattered showers or
storms.
Morning Low 68 Afternoon High 88
WIND: SW 6-12

WEDNESDAY
Partial sunshine. A chance of showers and storms.
Morning Low 68 Afternoon High 87
WIND: S 7-14

THURSDAY
Partly sunny. Scattered showers and storms.
Morning Low 67 Afternoon High 87
WIND: SW 6-12

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