ABC 33/40 E-Forecast

ABC 33/40 E-FORECAST
Morning Edition For Monday April 27, 2009
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...Warm Week...

A challenging forecast over the next few days as we find ourselves in
a tug of war between a trough to the west and strong ridge over the
eastern United States. The placement of the frontal system later in
the week will determine the southward extent of rain chances, and
there is a lot of uncertainty about that for now. Then we will be
looking at the possibility of a couple of storm systems starting late
next weekend and into the following week for us here in Alabama. And
finally, could we see an Atlantic tropical storm in early May?

THE FORECAST: Look for another beautiful day today across Central
Alabama as partly cloudy and warm conditions continue. Highs today
will top out in the lower and middle 80s. By Tuesday, a surface front
will try to push into North Alabama, but it increasingly looks like
that the system will stay to our north, keeping rain chances there as
well. We can't rule a few isolated storms each afternoon Tuesday
through Thursday though with a warm and humid airmass in place and a
little bit of spark from the front. The models still try to bring the
system through on Friday and Saturday, but as we have seen with these
strong subtropical highs, they may be a little optimistic. Still, we
will increase rain chances a bit for Friday and Saturday and back off
just a tad on the temperatures.

ROUGH NIGHT: It was a rough afternoon and overnight from Texas to
Iowa as a large upper system produced numerous reports of severe
weather, including a couple of tornadoes. Fortunately, as of late
evening, no significant damage had been reported.

MAY TROPICAL STORM? The GFS has been consistently putting forward
the idea of a tropical storm forming in the western Caribbean in about
ten days. You have to take that with a grain of salt, since the model
tends to do this just about every year. But it has been consistent
over several runs, and there are some synoptic factors that give it
credence. Shear is expected to decrease over the western Caribbean in
the next two weeks and we are going into an active Madden-Julian
Oscillation, which would favor Atlantic tropical activity for a couple
of weeks. It will be interesting to watch. May tropical storms are
rather rare, occurring in about one out of every ten Atlantic
hurricane seasons. The first storm this year will be Ana, followed by
Bill, Claudette, Danny and Erika

ON THIS DATE IN 1922: For two weeks, the city of New Orleans,
Louisiana had been under siege from a major flood on the Mississippi
River. On this date, a crevasse, or levee failure occurred 12 miles
downriver from New Orleans at Poydras in St. Bernard Parish in
Louisiana The Poydras crevasse would become an opening 1,500 feet
wide in the levee. Plaquemines and St. Bernard Parishes would be
completely flooded. As the Army Corps of Engineers "controlled" the
Mighty Mississippi with levees, the River had nowhere to go but
higher. So levees farther south had to be built higher and higher.
At Morganza, Louisiana floods in the nineteenth century had been
contained with a 7.5 foot levee. The levee had to be 38 feet in
1922! The 1922 flood was a preview of a worse flood that would
occur in 1927.

Bill Murray
bill.murray@theweathercompany.com

ABC 33/40 7 Day Planner: http://cfc.abc3340.com/abc3340/7day.cfm
ABC 33/40 Weather Blog: http://www.alabamawx.com

=========================================================
2009 SEC BASEBALL TOURNAMENT
MAY 20-24
REGIONS PARK STADIUM in Hoover
For Tickets, call (800) 732-4849 (800-SEC-4TIX)
or visit http://www.southtix.com/secbb.html
For Corporate Hospitality Packages, call (205) 977-9335

Here's your chance to see the best college baseball in the country,
right here in Hoover, Alabama! See the top eight teams in the SEC
compete for the tournament title over the course of this five day
event.

Reserved seats are going fast so be sure to order yours today at
(800) 732-4849 or by logging onto http://www.southtix.com/secbb.html
Opportunities still exist to entertain employees, clients or friends
in the Corporate Hospitality suite. Call (205) 977-9335 to inquire
about the various corporate hospitality packages.

Mark your calendars to go to Regions Park Stadium, May 20-24
to see some big time college baseball.

The 2009 SEC Baseball Tournament
THE BEST COLLEGE BASEBALL IN THE COUNTRY!!
=========================================================

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TODAY
Partly cloudy.
Afternoon High 83
WIND: S 6-12

TUESDAY
Mix of clouds and sun. Small chance of a shower or storm.
Morning Low 63 Afternoon High 82
WIND: S 6-12

WEDNESDAY
Partly sunny. A chance of a shower or storm.
Morning Low 62 Afternoon High 81
WIND: S 6-12

THURSDAY
Some sun. Slight chance of a shower or storm.
Morning Low 60 Afternoon High 80
WIND: S 6-12

FRIDAY
A chance of showers and storms.
Morning Low 62 Afternoon High 78
WIND: SW/W 6-12

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