ABC 33/40 E-Forecast

ABC 33/40 E-FORECAST
Afternoon Edition For Sunday February 1, 2009
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...Will Snowless Streak Continue?...

Measurable snow has not been observed at the official reporting
station in Birmingham since January 28, 2000. That is a snowless
streak of 3,292 days. It is far and away the longest such streak in
Magic City history. The second longest streak is 2,225 days that
stretched from February 1, 1951 until March 6, 1957. I think that we
all believed that the streak was going to come to an end tomorrow. It
still might, even though the situation is no longer classic.

WHAT? SNOW? Looking outside today, you would think we might be
talking more about an approaching severe weather threat rather than a
winter weather one. Sunny skies and mild temperatures belie the fact
that winter will again rear its chilly head this week. Most spots are
heading toward the lower 60s for afternoon highs today. Tonight will
feature increasing clouds in advance of our next weather maker, a
trough digging southward through the northern Plains states. Lows
should drop into the lower 40s.

CHANGE BACK TO WINTER: A cold front, the vanguard of the approaching
trough, will enter Northwest Alabama late tonight. It should be near
the Birmingham area around daybreak. Behind the front, temperatures
will start to fall. Our snow forecasts were pinned on the possibility
that a strong low would form in the Gulf of Mexico. Unfortunately for
snow lovers, the low will be weaker and further south than originally
depicted by the models. This means the moisture and cold air will not
get a chance to interact, except for a brief period at the end of the
precipitation tomorrow afternoon.

We could see a brief changeover to snow across the northern half of
the state. More snow showers could occur on Tuesday as a disturbance
passes by the area. All in all, a few spots may see a dusting on
grassy areas and roofs, but travel is not expected to be a problem.
It will turn much colder with highs in the lower 40s Tuesday and
Wednesday highs likely to stay in the 30s. Expect a hard freeze
Wednesday morning, with lows well down in the 20s. Things will start
to moderate on Thursday and we will be back in the 60s by Saturday
ahead of our next weather maker, a cold front that will try to run
the gauntlet against a tropical subtropical ridge over the Southeast.
Look for rain and storms by late in the weekend.

SUPER BOWL WEATHER: Initial forecast had believed that the Super
Bowl in Tampa today would be plagued by poor weather, but that did not
materialize. Clear skies are expected, with temperatures falling out
of the 60s and into the 50s during the game. A light southerly wind
will shift around to the east, but remain less than 5 mph.

ON THIS DATE IN 1955: Tornado touched down at Commerce Landing along
the Mississippi River in Tunica County, Mississippi. The storm cut an
8-mile path to Clark, Mississippi. Seventeen people were killed in a
plantation school at Commerce Landing, making it the third deadliest
school tornado disaster in U.S. History. The heroic teacher died
trying to save her students by shepherding them into ditches. The
rebuilt school was named after her. One dead child was blown one half
mile. The event was not officially called a tornado at the time.

Bill Murray
bill.murray@theweathercompany.com

ABC 33/40 7 Day Planner: http://cfc.abc3340.com/abc3340/7day.cfm
ABC 33/40 Weather Blog: http://www.alabamawx.com

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TONIGHT
A sunny start. Slowly increasing clouds. Rain begins after midnight.
Morning Low 33
WIND: S 7-14

MONDAY
A cold rain with slowly falling temperatures. Possible changeover to
snow during afternoon.
Morning Low 36 Afternoon High 42
WIND: N 9-18

TUESDAY
Windy and colder. A chance of snow showers during the afternoon and
early evening.
Morning Low 30 Afternoon High 40
WIND: NW 10-20

WEDNESDAY
Blustery and cold.
Morning Low 24 Afternoon High 39
WIND: NW 7-14

THURSDAY
Mostly sunny and more seasonable after a hard freeze.
Morning Low 22 Afternoon High 52
WIND: SW 6-12

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Tonight on ABC 33/40:

6:00pm AFV
7:00pm Extreme Makeover
9:00pm Desperate
Housewives
10:00pm ABC3340 News
10:35pm Nightline

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