ABC 33/40 E-Forecast

ABC 33/40 E-FORECAST
Afternoon Edition For Friday January 30, 2009
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...Unsettled Weather Models...

NEGOTIATING WITH SNOW: We are still wrestling with a potential snow
event later Monday and Monday night. Late this morning we had a
conference on our instant messaging net to discuss all the variables.
James Spann, Jason Simpson, Ashley Brand, Bill Murray, Brian Peters
and myself debated for 30 minutes or more trying to thrash out the
differences in the models and other evidence of possible snow. I
believe it was General George S. Patton that once said, "If everybody
is thinking alike, then somebody is not thinking." When we closed the
conference this morning, we had done a lot of thinking and we were
generally all on the same page.

The weather models continue to argue with each other and some are
hardly speaking. However, evidence began to pile up that the surface
low in the Gulf of Mexico, which we have been watching like a flight
of hawks, will probably take a more eastward track than earlier
expected. This will tend to lessen our chance of snow, but we urge you
that this is not sealed in stone. It is not even sealed in Silly Putty
yet. With the expected surface low now expected to move off the NE
coast of Florida and up the Atlantic Coast, either hugging the
coastline or staying off shore, the moisture will pull away from
Alabama earlier. So, this is the scenario that we came up with and
James Spann entered it on the 33/40 weather blog. This is what we
think: Rain begins after midnight Sunday night, becoming widespread
Monday morning. Temperatures should be in the 35-40 range Monday
morning, so it will be a chilly rainy morning. Rain will change to
snow during the day, mostly in the afternoon across North Alabama.
With the rain snow line moving from NW to SE. These are the estimated
times to change over to snow on Monday.

Noon in Muscle Shoals:
1:00 p.m. in Haleyville
3:00 p.m. in Jasper
5:00 p.m. in Birmingham/Tuscaloosa
6:00 p.m. in Anniston/Gadsden

It is still too early to mention amounts. Some parts of North Alabama
have and outside chance of 1 to 3 inches, but there is not enough
evidence even for that at the moment. Most of the significant
precipitation will be gone by Monday evening, but some flurries could
occur on Tuesday.

GLOBAL ROAMING: It is going to be very interesting to watch that
storm go up the East Coast. It should deepen into a super powerful low-
pressure area by the time in passes off New England. It will be very
interesting to see the wind gusts on Mt. Washington, New Hampshire
about Tuesday. Coldest in the lower 48 this morning was 34 below at
Embarrass, Minnesota. In Alaska, the coldest was 45 at Arctic Village.
It is getting colder across the great North Country again. Hooper Bay
was reporting a wind chill of 68 below zero. Two sample snow amounts
from Alaska: 52 inches at Valdez and 19 inches at Whittier and
Fairbanks.

MY TINY CORNER OF THE WORLD: I had planned to cuddle with my Little
Miss Molly a whole lot after going to bed, but I fell asleep. I am
still winning her back after giving her a spanking. I think she has
completely forgiven me now. I had at least 5 ballgames with her last
evening and 3 more this morning. I still feel for people who have to
put their pets down or give them down due to the economy. In the last
5 years, I have received at least 50 e-mails with situations like
that. It is always a sad story and sometimes I post their stories to
make us all appreciate our pets even more.

J. B. Elliott
jb.elliott@theweathercompany.com

ABC 33/40 7 Day Planner: http://cfc.abc3340.com/abc3340/7day.cfm
ABC 33/40 Weather Blog: http://www.alabamawx.com

=========================================================
IRON MAN CONFERENCE IS JANUARY 30-31

What does it mean to be a man? Is it how much money you make? The kind
of car you drive? Success in business? Our culture says these things
are important.but have you considered what God's Word has to say?

At the Iron Man Conference, January 30-31 at Hunter Street Baptist
Church, men will discover what it means to be a man--from God's
perspective.

Iron Man is for all men, single or married, high school juniors to
mature adults. It is for men, by men on Friday night (includes dinner)
and Saturday morning (includes breakfast) with teacher Don Whitney
and Hoover High School Football coach Josh Niblett. Be equipped,
challenged and sharpened to be the man God has created you to be.

Deadline to register is January 25. Visit http://www.HunterStreetIronMan.org
to register. Hunter Street Baptist Church, 2600 John Hawkins Parkway
in Hoover, 205.985.7295.
=========================================================

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TONIGHT
Fair and cold.
Morning Low 26
WIND: W 4-8

SATURDAY
Mostly sunny. A cold early morning.
Morning Low 26 Afternoon High 54
WIND: W 7-14

SUNDAY
Partly sunny, breezy and warmer. Clouds increase at night.
Morning Low 33 Afternoon High 61
WIND: S 10-15

MONDAY
A cold rain with slowly falling temperatures. change to snow late
afternoon and night.
Morning Low 37 Afternoon High 48
WIND: NE 7-14

TUESDAY
Windy and colder. A chance of snow flurries.
Morning Low 25 Afternoon High 38
WIND: NW 15-30

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Tonight on ABC 33/40:

6:00pm ABC 33/40 News
6:30pm Wheel of Fortune
7:00pm Wife Swap
8:00pm 20/20
9:00pm 20/20
10:00pm ABC 33/40 News
10:35pm Nightline

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