ABC 33/40 E-Forecast

ABC 33/40 E-FORECAST
Afternoon Edition For Sunday December 14, 2008
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...Unsettled Week Ahead...

Not much of a warm up on this mid-December Sunday across Central
Alabama. Noontime temperatures were in the lower and middle 50s
across the western and southern sections of the areas. Parts of
Northeast Alabama were struggling to get out of the 40s. Those areas
were still experiencing a bit of a wedge effect out of Northwest
Georgia. Skies were mostly cloudy, with just an occasional peak at
the sun, mostly over the Tennessee Valley. Some light radar returns
were showing up on radar across Central Alabama, but it was generally
not reaching the ground. It was raining at Mobile, where moisture
levels and depths were higher. Scott McClellan reports it is raining
to beat the band on Dauphin Island.

CHANGE TO MILDER/WETTER: Alabama will be under a southwesterly flow
aloft for much of the week ahead. This will protect Alabama from the
bitterly cold air that is destined for the nation's midsection through
much of the week ahead. Next weekend may be a different question.
That air has to come south sometime, one would believe. The leading
edge of that Arctic airmass will be delineated by a front that will be
t he main player in our weather over the next six days or so. There
are significant differences in opinion as to what the front will do,
and those could portend changes in the forecast. But the consensus is
that the front will slide into Central Alabama on Monday, then weaken
and retreat northward on Tuesday. It will hang around just to the
north of us in the Wednesday and Friday time frame, venturing south
enough to enhance our rain chances a bit a couple of times Day by
day, it looks like Monday will feature pretty good shower chances.
Tuesday will be mild with enough instability for a few showers and
maybe some thunder. Wednesday and Thursday look mainly dry precip
wise, with more mild and slightly humid conditions prevailing. Friday
will feature a good chance of showers and storm as the front tries to
move through. Then it could get interesting.

NEXT WEEKEND: That big Arctic airmass could try to move into North
Alabama by next weekend as the sheer weight of the cold air carries it
southward. Waves rippling along the frontal system on Saturday and
Sunday could bring a couple of batches of precipitation to North and
Central Alabama. The combination could be interesting. One scenario
that has been advanced is that the front could slowly slide southward
Saturday and Sunday, allowing the surface freezing line to slide
southward through the day on Sunday. This could lead to a wintry mix
of sleet or freezing rain starting in Northwest Alabama and
progressing southward through the day and overnight. This is a setup
that could favor a freezing rain event, which is not desirable.
Remember, it is one model run, but it is certainly a plausible
scenario and one that we will have to be ready for if it occurs.

ON THIS DATE IN 2002: The temperature at Helena MT plunged an
unbelievable 79 degrees in 24 hours and 88 degrees in 34 hours from 63
above to 25 below zero. At Fairfield MT, the mercury plummeted 84
degrees in just 12 hours, going from 63 to 21 below zero at midnight,
and establishing the US record for a 12 hour temperature fall.

Bill Murray
bill.murray@theweathercompany.com

ABC 33/40 7 Day Planner: http://cfc.abc3340.com/abc3340/7day.cfm
ABC 33/40 Weather Blog: http://www.alabamawx.com

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TONIGHT
Breezy and mild overnight with a slight chance of a shower.
Morning Low 38
WIND: SE 7-15

MONDAY
Mostly cloudy with a good chance of showers.
Morning Low 53 Afternoon High 63
WIND: S/NW 6-14

TUESDAY
Mostly cloudy with a chance of a shower, maybe some thunder.
Morning Low 53 Afternoon High 68
WIND: S/SW 6-12

WEDNESDAY
Breezy and warm with a slight chance of a shower or storm.
Morning Low 59 Afternoon High 74
WIND: S 10-18

THURSDAY
Partly sunny, breezy and mild. A slight chance of a shower.
Morning Low 57 Afternoon High 76
WIND: S 10-20

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Tonight on ABC 33/40:

6:00pm AFV
7:00pm The Santa Clause 2
9:00pm Brothers and Sisters
10:00pm ABC3340 News
10:35pm The Zone

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