ABC 33/40 E-Forecast

ABC 33/40 E-FORECAST
Morning Edition For Monday December 15, 2008
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...Back To Interesting...

Winter weather advisories are in effect to our northwest this morning
as the leading edge of a powerful Arctic airmass edges into the
Southeast. Freezing rain is expected to develop this afternoon in
western Tennessee as temperatures drop below 32F. Sleet and freezing
rain is expected to overspread Arkansas. Could this be a preview of
things to come for us by the weekend?

RAIN SHOWERS IN OUR FUTURE: The cold front is over northwestern
Mississippi and western Tennessee this morning. The front will make
it into Northwest Alabama by late this afternoon. Showers and
isolated thunder will increase across Central Alabama ahead of the
front. Some precipitation will also fall behind the front, and that
leads to a bit of concern about freezing rain in the Northwest corner
of the state tomorrow night. The front will slide back northward on
Tuesday, but will remain close enough to produce more rain over mainly
North Alabama Tuesday and Tuesday night. The big ridge of high
pressure over South Georgia and North Florida will flex its muscles on
Wednesday, sending a surge of warmer air into Alabama from the south.
It will feel positively springlike, with highs in the 70s and a breezy
south wind. Look for more of the same on Thursday.

CHANGE TO COLDER By Friday morning, that persistent front will be
back, this time wearing its Arctic look. Rain and perhaps a
thunderstorm will fall through the day on Friday. The front will
take its time slicing through Alabama, but at some point on Saturday,
temperatures should start a steady fall. Meanwhile, the southwesterly
flow aloft will continue to pump moisture into the area and
disturbances rippling along in the flow trigger waves of low pressure
along the front. This will result in periods of precipitation on
Saturday. Those waves will continue into Sunday, and by then
temperatures may well be dropping below freezing, starting first in
the Northwest, and gradually sliding southeastward. If this scenario
plays out, we could be dealing with freezing rain or sleet on Sunday
This is the kind of setup that could produce significant icing, and it
is one that will have to be watched.

NOT HYPE, JUST A HEADS UP: I want to caution our readers that the
potential for wintry weather is not a forecast at this time, but model
consistency is increasing and it certainly is a potential scenario.
We are not trying to hype an event, just provide early notice of the
potential. We always show our work and let you interpret the
potential along with us.

ON THIS DATE IN 2002: KLM Flight 867, a 747 with 231 passengers and
crew on board, lost power in all four engines as it flew through the
ash plume from Alaska's Mount Redoubt volcano. The powerless aircraft
lost ten thousand feet in altitude as the crew frantically tried to
restart the engines. Fortunately, their efforts were successful, and
the plane landed safely at Anchorage. Damage to the plane amounted to
$80 million. At least eighty airplanes have been damaged by ash from
volcanoes worldwide since 1980. No plane has ever crashed as a result
of volcanic ash, although it came very close to happening in the case
of the KLM incident.

Bill Murray
bill.murray@theweathercompany.com

ABC 33/40 7 Day Planner: http://cfc.abc3340.com/abc3340/7day.cfm
ABC 33/40 Weather Blog: http://www.alabamawx.com

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TODAY
Mostly cloudy with a good chance of showers.
Afternoon High 63
WIND: S/NW 6-14

TUESDAY
Mostly cloudy with a chance of a shower, maybe some thunder.
Morning Low 53 Afternoon High 68
WIND: S/SW 6-12

WEDNESDAY
Breezy and warm with a slight chance of a shower or storm.
Morning Low 59 Afternoon High 74
WIND: S 10-18

THURSDAY
Partly sunny, breezy and mild. A slight chance of a shower.
Morning Low 57 Afternoon High 76
WIND: S 10-20

FRIDAY
Showers and storms.
Morning Low 54 Afternoon High 65
WIND: SW 7-14

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Tonight on ABC 33/40

6:00pm ABC3340 News
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