ABC 33/40 E-Forecast

ABC 33/40 E-FORECAST
Morning Edition For Thursday December 11, 2008
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...Snow For Parts of Alabama Today...

SNOW FLAKES FOR PARTS OF ALABAMA: A complex storm system will bring a
significant chance of snow to parts of the Deep South today. While
there is no real Arctic air around, a cold core upper trough will
literally bring it's own cold air, with dynamic cooling from above. A
cold rain falling this morning should change to snow as the upper low
moves into Alabama. At this point, it looks like the best chance of
accumulating snow will be over the northwest part of the state, across
Pickens, Lamar, Fayette, Marion, Walker, and Winston counties.
Communities in these counties like Vernon, Reform, and Hamilton have a
decent chance of seeing one to three inches of snow, with most of the
accumulation on grassy areas. Roads should remain wet due to above
freezing temperatures and warm soil, so major travel issues are not
expected at this time. For the rest of Alabama, a dusting of snow is
possible this afternoon for places like Tuscaloosa, Birmingham, and
Gadsden.

We should note that in a situation like this you will often have a
very narrow band of heavy snow, with potential for 5 to 7 inches in
that band. But, there is very little skill in trying to pick that out
until the event really gets going. A similar event on December 14,
1997 produced 6 to 8 inches of snow along U.S. 80 from Jackson,
Mississippi to Demopolis, Alabama. Dealing with cold core upper lows
is very difficult, and our skill at forecasting them is rather limited.

WINDY AND COLD: Other than the rain and the snow, this will be a
rather raw December day, with temperatures holding in the 36 to 41
degree range, and strong northwest winds gusting to 25 mph at times.
Wind chill values will be below freezing much of the day. The wind
will diminish tonight as the surface low pulls away to the northeast,
and we should be clear by midnight.

FLASH FLOOD THREAT: We should note that the ground is totally
saturated following the big rain event Tuesday night/Wednesday
morning, and a flash flood watch
continues this morning for much of central and east Alabama. Some rain
totals from this event so far include 6.98" at Guin, 5.16" at
Scrougeout (northeast of Gadsden in Etowah County), 4.77" at
Huntsville, 3.77" at Hackleburg, 3.67" at Gadsden, and 3.02" at
Vinemont,

TOMORROW AND THE WEEKEND: These three days should feature rather
uneventful weather conditions, with a high tomorrow in the upper 40s,
followed by highs in the 50s on Saturday and Sunday. A morning freeze
is likely tomorrow and Saturday.

DECEMBER TWISTERS: AN EF2 tornado touched down in the community of
Sipsey (Walker County) during the pre-dawn hours yesterday, producing
significant damage. EF1 tornadoes were reported near Branchville, and
at Oakman in Walker County. Thankfully there were no injuries due to
the severe thunderstorms.

James Spann
jspann@abc3340.com

ABC 33/40 7 Day Planner: http://cfc.abc3340.com/abc3340/7day.cfm
ABC 33/40 Weather Blog: http://www.alabamawx.com

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HUNTER STREET CHRISTMAS PAGEANT
Sunday, December 14

Celebrate the birth of Jesus Christ at "Beautiful Savior", a
Christmas pageant at Hunter Street Baptist Church. It will
be presented at 8:00, 9:30 and 11:00 a.m. on Sunday,
December 14.

This will be a morning of glorious music, pageantry and ballet.
Everyone is welcome. There is no charge. Childcare is available
for children, birth to K5.

Hunter Street is located three miles west of the Riverchase
Galleria at 2600 John Hawkins Parkway in Hoover. For more
information, call 205.985.7295 or visit http://www.hunterstreet.org
=========================================================

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TODAY
Colder with rain changing to snow. One to three inches of snow
possible over Northwest Alabama.
Afternoon High 44
WIND: NW 12-22

FRIDAY
Mostly sunny.
Morning Low 28 Afternoon High 48
WIND: NW 5-10

SATURDAY
A good supply of sunshine.
Morning Low 31 Afternoon High 52
WIND: N 5-10

SUNDAY
Partly sunny.
Morning Low 38 Afternoon High 58
WIND: NE 5-10

MONDAY
Mixed sun and clouds. Widely scattered showers.
Morning Low 49 Afternoon High 63
WIND: SW 5-10

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