ABC 33/40 E-Forecast

ABC 33/40 E-FORECAST
Morning Edition For Monday November 17, 2008
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...Mainly Dry...

It appears that we will be mainly dry for the next seven days here in
Central Alabama, although there are some uncertainties as we head
toward next weekend.

ON THE WEATHER MAPS THIS MORNING: A big upper level trough covers
the eastern half of the United States this morning. This trough is
delivering a flow of cold, dry air to Alabama and the Deep South. At
the surface, high pressure is centered along the Texas and Louisiana
coast. Temperatures are in the 30s across North and Central Alabama
under clear skies.

THE WEEK AHEAD: Skies will remain mostly sunny today. Temperatures
will climb into the upper 50s. A shortwave passing through the trough
will send a dry front through the state tonight. There may be a few
clouds, but no rain. The front will deliver a reinforcing shot of
cold air. Highs tomorrow may not get out of the 40s despite near
total sunshine. Tuesday night lows will be well down in the 20s as we
experience the coldest air so far this season. Wednesday through
Friday should be sunny with moderating temperatures as the upper flow
becomes more zonal. By late Friday, the flow will buckle again and
turn to northwesterly as another trough forms over the East. This
will send another cold front our way by Saturday morning. For now, it
looks like the weekend will be dry and cool, but the GFS thinks the
front could be on the wet side. So the weekend forecast is on the
uncertain side for now.

HOLIDAY WEEK: The GFS model has been flip-flopping back and forth
about the possibility of a big storm system around Thanksgiving.
There is a lot of uncertainty about this also.

SKY NOTES: Those two bright objects in the southwest sky each night
are Venus and Jupiter. The two planets appear to be slowly converging
and they will have an amazing conjunction with the moon late in the
month. Also, November 17th and 18th mark the peak of the Leonid
Meteor Shower. Best time will be predawn this morning and again
tomorrow morning.

DROUGHT UPDATE: The drought is worsening a bit across the
northeastern quarter of Alabama. Drought conditions now exist from
Bibb and Chilton Counties up through Jefferson, St. Clair and Calhoun
Counties on to Jackson, DeKalb and Cherokee Counties. Level2, or
severe drought conditions still are holding through the eastern sliver
of the counties from Cleburne up through Jackson counties along the
Georgia border. 73% of the state is still abnormally dry or worse.

ON THIS DATE IN 1999: Hurricane Lenny became the first hurricane
ever to strike the islands of the Lesser Antilles from the west.
Hurricane Lenny was packing winds of 155 mph as it moved just south of
the island of St. Croix in the Virgin Islands. That is just 5 mph
short of category five intensity. A 15-ft. storm surge battered the
island washing away homes, boats and roads. Lenny's winds were still
125 mph as it moved near the islands of Anguilla and St. Maarten on
the 18th. The storm was dubbed "left-handed Lenny" because of its
unusual motion.

Bill Murray
bill.murray@theweathercompany.com

ABC 33/40 7 Day Planner: http://cfc.abc3340.com/abc3340/7day.cfm
ABC 33/40 Weather Blog: http://www.alabamawx.com

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TODAY
Mostly sunny.
Afternoon High 58
WIND: NW 6-12

TUESDAY
Sunny, cooler and a little breezy.
Morning Low 32 Afternoon High 52
WIND: NW 7-14

WEDNESDAY
Sunshine prevails. A cold start.
Morning Low 27 Afternoon High 56
WIND: W 5-10

THURSDAY
Sunny skies.
Morning Low 35 Afternoon High 63
WIND: SW 5-10

FRIDAY
Still sunny.
Morning Low 39 Afternoon High 64
WIND: SW 5-12

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