ABC 33/40 E-Forecast
ABC 33/40 E-FORECAST
Morning Edition For Tuesday September 23, 2008
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...Fine Fall Weather...
NIGHTS GETTING COOLER: Today is the first full day of autumn for the
northern hemisphere, and right on cue we are forecasting cooler nights
in the days ahead. We expect temperatures will drop into the mid 50s
early tomorrow, and by daybreak Thursday most North Alabama
communities will fall into the low 50s. That, of course, means that
some of the colder spots will fall into the upper 40s for the first
time since spring. Always refreshing after the long, hot summer. The
air is very dry, so each day temperatures will rise quickly. The high
today should be in the mid 80s, with low 80s tomorrow and Thursday.
The humidity will remain low, so the afternoon warmth will be very
comfortable. And, the dry air means no chance of rain for the rest of
the week.
THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: No major change for the weekend; at this time we
expect mostly sunny warm days and clear, cool nights Saturday and
Sunday. Highs in the 80 to 85 degree range; lows will stay in the
comfortable 50s.
NEXT WEEK: The medium range computer models are hinting at a strong
upper trough over the eastern third of the nation early next week; if
that idea is correct it could set the stage for the coolest
temperatures so far this season in about 7 to 8 days. Stay tuned.
TROPICS: A tropical disturbance near Hispanolia has the potential to
become a tropical depression today as the upper air winds become
lighter around the system, and it drifts north, away from the island.
In fact, this has a good chance to become Tropical Storm Kyle in
coming days, and is a potential threat to the upper Atlantic coast at
the end of the week. Everyone from Chesapeake Bay to Cape Cod will
need to monitor the progress of this one closely. It is no threat to
the Gulf of Mexico, and will not impact Alabama's weather.
THE GOLDEN DAYS OF FALL: Today, the average high in Birmingham is 83,
and the average low is 61. Those values will drop to 80/58 by the end
of the month, and 70/46 by Halloween. The earliest freeze on record in
Birmingham came on October 18, 1948 when the low was a frosty 31
degrees. The average date of our first freeze is November 8. We also
note that October is typically our driest month of the year; our
average rain for the month is only 3.23".
ON THIS DATE IN 1975: Hurricane Eloise makes landfall during the
morning hours between Fort Walton Beach and Panama City, Florida.
Eloise was the first hurricane to make landfall in that area in this
century. A storm surge of 12-16 feet accompanied the storm with a high
water mark of 18.2 feet at Dune Allen Beach, Florida. Over $100
million in damage was reported and there were four storm-related
fatalities in the storm. Winds reached 125 mph sustained with gusts to
155 mph. 21 deaths. Damage totaled $490 million. On a personal note,
that was the first hurricane I ever experienced; I was in Fort Walton
Beach that morning assisting with amateur radio communication needs.
My next one would be four years later; Hurricane Frederic in September
1979.
James Spann
jspann@abc3340.com
ABC 33/40 7 Day Planner: http://cfc.abc3340.com/abc3340/7day.cfm
ABC 33/40 Weather Blog: http://www.alabamawx.com
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=========================================================
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TODAY
Sunny and pleasant.
Afternoon High 84
WIND: E 6-12
WEDNESDAY
Sunny with a cool morning.
Morning Low 56 Afternoon High 81
WIND: NE 6-12
THURSDAY
Mostly sunny.
Morning Low 52 Afternoon High 80
WIND: E 6-12
FRIDAY
Partly sunny.
Morning Low 53 Afternoon High 80
WIND: E 6-12
SATURDAY
A good supply of sunshine.
Morning Low 55 Afternoon High 84
WIND: NE 6-12
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