ABC 33/40 E-Forecast

ABC 33/40 E-FORECAST
Morning Edition For Wednesday September 10, 2008
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Patton Creek 205-989-4020 Homewood 205-870-1100
Summit 205-967-5800 Crestline 205-871-0060
Downtown 205-252-5200 Tuscaloosa 205-344-4450
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...Moist Air Remains Over Alabama...

MUGGY SEPTEMBER DAYS: A very moist airmass will remain parked over
Alabama through tomorrow; we do note that the coolest air of
meteorological fall is over the Midwest, but the leading edge of that
air has stalled out over Tennessee, and it most likely will dissipate
to the north, leaving Alabama in the muggy tropical air. We will
continue to mention scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms
today and tomorrow; the best chance of them will come during the
afternoon and evening hours, but you might see one at night or during
the morning. Afternoon highs will be in the mid 80s with only a
limited amount of sunshine today and tomorrow.

FRIDAY AND THE WEEKEND: Showers should become fewer in number on
Friday, and then quite scarce over the weekend. Accordingly, afternoon
temperatures will be warmer, and we expect a high close to 90 on
Saturday and Sunday with a partly sunny sky.

EYES ON IKE: Ike is now over the open water of the southern Gulf of
Mexico, and is forecast to grow quickly into a major hurricane again
during the next 24 hours as it moves to the west/northwest. The
hurricane will move over the warm Loop Current, and winds aloft are
light and variable, so rapid deepening is possible today. Landfall is
still expected along the Texas coast late Friday night, or perhaps
early Saturday morning (possibly during the pre-dawn hours). As we all
know, Ike has pretty much gone its own way since the storm was born;
defying forecasts from meteorologists and computer models.

The official NHC track has Ike headed for the middle Texas coast,
somewhere between Corpus Christi and Matagorda Bay, but needless to
say this could change. At some point, the ridge north of Ike will
weaken, and the hurricane will take a more northerly component of
motion. Where this happens remains to be seen, but the following NHC
track that turn will happen around I-35 near Austin, with the remnant
circulation moving up toward Dallas/Fort Worth and Oklahoma City over
the weekend.

It is likely that Ike will be a very dangerous hurricane at the time
of landfall, and all interests along the Texas coast from the Sabine
Pass south to Brownsville will need to watch this closely and follow
any forecast changes in coming days.

TWENTY NINE YEARS AGO TODAY: Monday, September 10, 1979 was my very
first day as the main weather anchor at Birmingham's NBC affiliate,
WAPI-TV, Channel 13 (now WVTM-TV). What a first day; a hurricane was
blowing up in the Gulf of Mexico; as it turns out the station would
send me to the Alabama Gulf Coast to cover the arrival of the big
storm, Hurricane Frederic. We left at daybreak on Wednesday, September
12, getting there in time for live phone reports back to Birmingham
during the landfall of the category three storm, which moved right up
Mobile Bay during the late night hours of September 12 and the pre-
dawn hours of September 13. What a way to begin a career...

James Spann
jspann@abc3340.com

ABC 33/40 7 Day Planner: http://cfc.abc3340.com/abc3340/7day.cfm
ABC 33/40 Weather Blog: http://www.alabamawx.com

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=========================================================

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TODAY
Cloudy at times with scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Afternoon High 86
WIND: SE 6-12

THURSDAY
Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms.
Morning Low 72 Afternoon High 87
WIND: SE 7-14

FRIDAY
Partly sunny. Widely scattered showers.
Morning Low 73 Afternoon High 87
WIND: SE 7-14

SATURDAY
Partly to mostly sunny. Any showers should be isolated.
Morning Low 72 Afternoon High 90
WIND: SW 5-10

SUNDAY
Partially sunny with a few widely scattered afternoon showers.
Morning Low 74 Afternoon High 90
WIND: SW 6-12

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