ABC 33/40 E-Forecast

ABC 33/40 E-FORECAST
Morning Edition For Monday September 22, 2008
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...Fine Week Ahead...

Get ready for a fine week of weather here across Central Alabama.
Fall officially begins today as the autumnal equinox occurs at 10:44
a.m. CDT. We will experience some of the typical weather fare that
you would expect in autumn in Alabama. Expect warm days with good
amounts of sunshine, fair nights with comfortable temperatures and low
humidities.

ON THE WEATHER MAPS: At the surface, high pressure is centered over
eastern Canada this morning. A ridge extends from this anticyclone
southwestward all the way into Texas. A weak trough is evident in the
mid and upper levels of the atmosphere over Alabama and the Deep
South. The trough produced showers over the South for the past few
days, but as the trough moved eastward yesterday, showers over Central
Alabama were shoved into Georgia. The trough will continue to push
east today and it could cut off into an upper low off the coast of the
Carolinas and Georgia. It may still play a role in our weather by
late in the week as well as a role in the eventual track of
prospective Tropical Storm Kyle.

OUR FORECAST: Skies cleared late yesterday over Central Alabama as
the trough axis began to shift to the east. It was a beautiful night
with fair skies and seasonably cool readings in the upper 50s to lower
60s. Get used to those. They will be common for much of the week
ahead. A little patchy fog developed overnight, primarily in areas
that saw rain over the weekend. Skies will be mostly sunny today with
just a few clouds. That could well describe the sky conditions
through at least Wednesday. Highs will warm into the lower and middle
80s each day with all of the sunshine. By Thursday, the upper low to
the east may retrograde (or move westward) and could spread a few
showers into eastern sections of the state as early as Thursday night.
They could persist into the weekend.

TROPICS: The disturbance (93L) over Puerto Rico continued to show
increasing thunderstorm activity overnight. Wind shear is moderate in
the vicinity of the disturbance and ocean temperatures are warm, so a
tropical depression is expected to form soon. The system is moving
slowly to the north or north northwest. It is expected to become a
tropical storm by Tuesday. It would become Kyle.

That is if a storm that is approaching Portugal does not develop
tropical characteristics first. 93L could go on to become a hurricane
later this week. The eventual track holds some threat to the
Mid-Atlantic states or New England, or perhaps Bermuda. But in the
present, life threatening flooding and mudslides are ongoing on Puerto
Rico. Up to 16 inches of rain may fall over the island. Rainfall
rates were as high as four inches per hour in some locations last
night with the tropical convection.

ON THIS DATE IN 2002: The area around Birmingham was hard hit by
flash flooding after very heavy rains fell during the early morning
hours Three to five inches of rain fell in only a few hours, with some
areas picking up over seven inches. Some of the worst damage was in
the Vestavia and Mountain Brook areas.

Bill Murray
bill.murray@theweathercompany.com

ABC 33/40 7 Day Planner: http://cfc.abc3340.com/abc3340/7day.cfm
ABC 33/40 Weather Blog: http://www.alabamawx.com

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TODAY
Just a few clouds.
Afternoon High 84
WIND: E 5-10

TUESDAY
Mostly sunny.
Morning Low 60 Afternoon High 84
WIND: E 6-12

WEDNESDAY
A good supply of sunshine.
Morning Low 61 Afternoon High 83
WIND: E 5-10

THURSDAY
Clouds increase. A slight chance of a late night shower over
eastern sections.
Morning Low 58 Afternoon High 82
WIND: NE 5-10

FRIDAY
Partial sunshine. A slight chance of a shower, mainly east.
Morning Low 59 Afternoon High 82
WIND: N 5-10

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