ABC 33/40 E-Forecast

ABC 33/40 E-FORECAST
Afternoon Edition For Sunday September 21, 2008
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...Fine Fall Weather Ahead...

Fall officially begins on Monday and the coming week will give us some
of the best that autumn usually has to offer in Alabama: warm,
sunshine filled days, clear, comfortable nights and lower humidity.

A FEW LIGHT SHOWERS: A few light showers have continued through the
morning hours over Central Alabama. They will continue moving
northeast through the afternoon. Rainfall amounts will be light and
spotty. Skies have cleared north of I-59, with only breaks in the
clouds to the south. Skies will be mostly sunny over the northwestern
third of Alabama this afternoon, and partly sunny south of there.

THE WEEK AHEAD: That pesky trough that has been to the west of
Alabama for the past few days is weakening and will move on out to the
east today. This will eliminate the overrunning process that has been
in place, allow skies to clear out and eliminate the chance of
showers. Now, we could still use the rain, but the fall preview will
be nice. As high pressure remains anchored over New England, it will
be the dominant player in our weather for the first part of the week
with a continued easterly surface flow drawing dry air into Alabama.
This means lots of sunshine with highs in the lower 80s and lows
ranging between 58-64. There are still indications that some sort of
hybrid tropical/subtropical low will form near the coast of the
Carolinas by late in the week. This would serve to turn our winds to
the north, bringing in more relatively cool, dry air. If the upper
level low associated with this system really gets would up and moves
westward, it could result in some showers wrapping into East Alabama
from Georgia late in the week, possibly as early as

TROPICS: The tropical wave over the eastern Caribbean has continued
to gain organization over the past twenty four hours and a tropical
depression is forming. Air Force recon was just arriving to
investigate. The consensus in the models is to move it north
northwestward, with a possible northwest turn by day five. There is
some hint that it could curve toward the Northeast
U.S., possible the New York area or New England. The GFDL makes it a
hurricane by Tuesday morning. The HWRF is a little slower, but does
bring it to hurricane intensity as it passes west of Bermuda.
Interests from North Carolina to New England will have to watch this
one in the week ahead. This system is bringing extremely heavy
rainfall to Puerto Rico, where flash flood warnings are in effect.

NATIONAL NOTES: Severe weather is possible today over the Plains
states ahead of a trough moving out of the Rockies. There should be
sufficient instability and shear for a couple of supercells over parts
of the Dakotas, Nebraska, Kansas and eastern Colorado. Large hail and
damaging winds will be the primary threats. Temperatures across the
contiguous 48 states on Saturday ranged from 27F at Polebridge,
Montana to 105F at Bullhead City, Arizona.

ON THIS DATE IN 1938: The New England Hurricane of 1938 surprised
weather forecasters who thought the storm was headed out to sea,
hitting Long Island and then moving across New England with 100 mph
winds. Meteorologists had thought the storm was headed out to sea,
and the storm caught everyone by surprise. The water in downtown
Providence, Rhode Island rose to nearly fourteen feet. Waves of 30-40
feet on top of the storm surge caused incredible damage on the Rhode
Island and southern Massachusetts coastlines. A total of six hundred
people died. Damage was figured at $387 million in 1938 dollars.
Today, it would be astronomical.

Bill Murray
bill.murray@theweathercompany.com

ABC 33/40 7 Day Planner: http://cfc.abc3340.com/abc3340/7day.cfm
ABC 33/40 Weather Blog: http://www.alabamawx.com

=========================================================
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=========================================================

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TONIGHT
Skies clear overnight. A little patchy fog possible.
Overnight Low 65
WIND: Light E

MONDAY
Just a few clouds.
Morning Low 59 Afternoon High 84
WIND: E 5-10

TUESDAY
Mostly sunny.
Morning Low 61 Afternoon High 84
WIND: E 6-12

WEDNESDAY
A good supply of sunshine.
Morning Low 61 Afternoon High 83
WIND: E 5-10

THURSDAY
Clouds increase. A slight chance of a late night shower over
eastern sections.
Morning Low 58 Afternoon High 81
WIND: NE 5-10

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Tonight on ABC 33/40:

6:00pm Jimmy Kimmel's Big Night of Stars
7:00pm Emmys
8:00pm Desperate Housewives
10:00pm ABC3340 News
10:35pm The Zone

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