ABC 33/40 E-Forecast

ABC 33/40 E-FORECAST
Afternoon Edition For Friday August 29, 2008
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...Eyes On The Gulf of Mexico...

COASTAL ALABAMA COULD GET STORMY: We do not know exactly what
percentage of our rain can be attributed directly to the Gulf of
Mexico. We do know that almost all of our hurricane disasters over the
years came roaring out of the Gulf. We will be watching very closely
that big body of water all the way into early next week for possible
real problems from Hurricane Gustav. He was moving westward south of
Cuba this afternoon and was on the verge of being a hurricane. He will
surely be that soon. After he gets into the SE Gulf of Mexico, he will
head directly NW across the heart of the Gulf and that is when several
things can happen. He will become a major hurricane. The most often
mentioned of landfall is on the Louisiana coast late Monday night or
early Tuesday morning. We have pounded away that the track can be off
that far ahead and the National Hurricane Center emphasizes that also.
As it stand now, landfall could be anywhere from the lower Texas coast
north and east from the NW Florida Panhandle. A State of Emergency has
been declared in Louisiana and at several other places along the
coast. In Mobile County, volunteer evacuation could begin as early as
Saturday morning. It is likely that massive evacuation will be ordered
from New Orleans and South Louisiana and maybe the Mississippi coast.

NWS in Mobile mentions that it is possible that tropical storm
conditions could reach the Alabama coast by Sunday night and possible
hurricane conditions by Monday and Tuesday.

HOW ABOUT NORTH/CENTRAL ALABAMA: It depends entirely on landfall. If
the major hurricane goes into Western Louisiana, we should get by
without any serious problems. However, suppose that landfall is on the
Mississippi or Alabama coast. We would then have another Opal or Ivan
on our hands, which could result in a lot of trees and power lines
down even as far north as Birmingham and flash flooding from buckets
of rain. At this time, that seems the less likely probability.

FOOTBALL WEATHER: Yes, it is that time of year again. It should be
mostly clear for high school games tonight with the risk of a shower
almost nonexistent. It should be in the warm 80s at kick off and 76 to
78 at the final whistle. Louisiana-Monroe will be at Auburn for a 6
p.m. game Saturday. Very warm with 88 at kick off and 82 in the fourth
quarter. Almost a small risk of a shower. The University of Tulsa will
be in Birmingham to play UAB at Legion Field at 3:00 p.m. Only a small
risk of a shower, but a hot 92 degrees at kick off. The
Alabama-Clemson game is in the Georgia Dome Saturday night, so no
concern about rain.

TROPICAL WEATHER: We have already discussed Gustav, but we have three
other disturbances. Tropical Storm Hanna is acting weird and may turn
toward the SW toward the Bahamas by Tuesday morning. A strong tropical
wave far out in the Eastern Atlantic, shows signs of development and
could become a tropical depression in the next day or so.

GLOBAL ROAMING: Leave it to Fay. Her bones dumped 5.06 inches of rain
on Richmond yesterday. Phoenix got 1.76 inches with the Arizona
monsoon. Lowest today 33 Yellowstone Park.

J. B. Elliott
jb.elliott@theweathercompany.com

ABC 33/40 7 Day Planner: http://cfc.abc3340.com/abc3340/7day.cfm
ABC 33/40 Weather Blog: http://www.alabamawx.com

=========================================================
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TONIGHT
Fair. A very small risk of an evening shower.
Overnight Low 67
WIND: Light

SATURDAY
Mostly sunny. An isolated afternoon shower or thunderstorm possible.
Morning Low 67 Afternoon High 92
WIND: NE 5-10

SUNDAY
Partly sunny with widely scattered afternoon thunderstorms.
Morning Low 70 Afternoon High 91
WIND: E 6-12

MONDAY
Clouds increase. Breezy with widely scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Morning Low 73 Afternoon High 88
WIND: SE 10-18

TUESDAY
Chance of showers and thunderstorms. windy at times.
Morning Low 73 Afternoon High 82
WIND: SE 12-25

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Tonight on ABC 33/40:

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10:10pm ABC 33/40 News
10:15pm Friday Night Blitz
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