ABC 33/40 E-Forecast

ABC 33/40 E-FORECAST
Afternoon Edition For Saturday August 9, 2008
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CHURCH. IT'S NOT A BUILDING

It's people. A family of people that care for and support
one another in good times and bad. People learning to
trust and depend on God.

This Sunday, some will gather at Hunter Street Baptist Church
in Hoover. Will you join us?

Visit http://www.hunterstreet.org
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...Northwest Flow...

Are you just loving this weather? Dewpoints in the 50s in early
August? Sunny skies. No storms around. A light northerly breeze?
Sure, temperatures are warm out there this afternoon, but humidities
are low, so it actually feels comfortable.

THAT OLD NORTHWEST FLOW: The northwest flow giveth, and it taketh
away. While famous for its generally fine weather, it is also known
for throwing batches of thunderstorms our way. We can imagine that
happening in this forecast, perhaps as early as late on Sunday Then
again early in the week. And this unusual upper level pattern looks
like it might be with us for much of the coming week, so we will have
to keep storms in the forecast just about every day, since timing
these ripples in the atmospheric flow is tough. Temperatures will be
at or just below normal depending on the daily cloud cover and
rainfall prospects.

RECORD LOWS BY MORNING: The direr air allows for not only comfortable
humidity readings, but also for comfortable morning lows. Expect a
repeat of this morning's lows on Sunday morning, except that it might
even be a degree or two cooler. This means that we will be
approaching record territory by morning. Temperatures will be in the
upper 50s early Sunday across North and Central Alabama. The record
low at Birmingham for August 10th is 60F. We will be close. Other
record lows for tomorrow morning wil include 56F at Anniston, 60F at
Tuscaloosa and 62F at Montgomery.

CHECK ON THE TROPICS: No real threats in the tropical Atlantic at
this time. We could see development along our old front off the South
Atlantic coast of the U.S., but it might not even become tropical and
it would most certainly head out to sea to the northeast. The
Intertropical Convergence Zone of the eastern Atlantic is becoming
quite nervous and the GFS hints that a tropical cyclone will form by
midweek between Africa and the islands of the Caribbean. Recent model
runs have depicted this system brushing the Leewards before the system
meanders toward Florida as a rather insignificant system. But a
hundred different scenarios will ensure over the next few days as this
situation unfolds.

REPEAT OF 2004-2005? A persistent trough of low pressure in the mid-
levels of the atmosphere up at about 18,000 feet has been parked just
off the East Coast of the United States for awhile now. That is the
important steering level for tropical cyclones. It is unclear what
will happen as we head into the second half of August, but let's hope
the trough stays in place as much as possible. NOAA has updated their
season forecast: 14-18 named storms, 7-10 hurricanes and 3-6 major
hurricanes. A persistent easterly flow will steer disturbances off
the coast of Africa. Sea surface temperatures are warmer than the
normal. Weak wind shear will allow systems to strengthen.

ONE YEAR AGO: Alabama continued in the midst of a major heat wave
and drought. The 103F at the Birmingham Airport was the hottest in
the Magic City since August 19, 1999. It was the third straight day of
100 degree readings at Birmingham. It was 103F at Tuscaloosa (a
record) and 105F at Pinson. Montgomery topped out at 104F. A large
part of the northern half of the state continued in an exceptional
drought, the highest category on the drought scale.

Bill Murray
bill@integralhospitality.com

ABC 33/40 7 Day Planner: http://cfc.abc3340.com/abc3340/7day.cfm
ABC 33/40 Weather Blog: http://www.alabamawx.com
Weather Party: http://www.weatherparty.com

=========================================================
CHURCH. IT'S NOT A BUILDING

It's people. A family of people who are far from perfect, who
don't pretend there are no disappointments in life. But who
know where to turn in those disappointments and where hope
is found.

This Sunday, some will gather at Hunter Street Baptist Church
in Hoover. Will you join us?

Visit http://www.hunterstreet.org
=========================================================

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TONIGHT
Sunny and pleasant. Low humidity. A delightful morning.
Overnight Low 60
WIND: NW 6-12

SUNDAY
Partly sunny. Another nice start. A shower or storm possible late in
the day.
Morning Low 59 Afternoon High 86
WIND: NW 5-10

MONDAY
A mix of sun and clouds. Scattered showers and storms possible.
Morning Low 64 Afternoon High 87
WIND: S 5-10

TUESDAY
Occasionally cloudy. Scattered to numerous showers and storms by
afternoon.
Morning Low 66 Afternoon High 85
WIND: S 5-10

WEDNESDAY
Partly sunny. Scattered showers and storms developing.
Morning Low 69 Afternoon High 86
WIND: SW 5-10

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Tonight on ABC 33/40:

6:00pm ABC3340 News
6:30pm Wheel of Fortune
7:00pm NFL Exhibition: Rams at Titans
10:00pm ABC 33/40 News
10:35pm Law and Order, SVU

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