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Saturday, July 05, 2008

ABC 33/40 E-Forecast

ABC 33/40 E-FORECAST
Afternoon Edition For Saturday July 5, 2008
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...Rain Wanted...

J.B.'s afternoon forecast package yesterday brought the continued
seriousness of the drought situation across Alabama into very sharp
focus. The rainfall deficits at other stations across North and
Central Alabama are becoming alarming again. Here in Birmingham, we
have been whittling away at a nice surplus we had built up as of about
three weeks ago. Yesterday was the first day with measurable rain at
the Birmingham Airport since the 14th of June. As J.B. pointed out,
Montgomery is now down 9.07 inches for the year, Huntsville 9.60
inches, Anniston 7.25 inches and Tuscaloosa 6.69 inches.

TONIGHT AND SUNDAY: It has been another day of active storms across
Central Alabama. For tonight, showers and storms will continue until
we lose the heating of the day. As on t he past couple of mornings,
we may see more early morning storm development across the area. This
is due to a fairly strong mid-level trough located across the
Mississippi Valley. This trough is trying to cut off into an upper
low. The trough should move eastward by tomorrow. This may allow the
focus for storms to be a little further south across South Central
Alabama tomorrow afternoon.

THE WEEK AHEAD: We should settle into a fairly typical summertime
pattern by Monday, that will be with us the rest of the week.
Temperatures will be on the rise by the end of the week, when we could
see some middle 90s for highs.

COULD BERTHA THREATEN THE U.S. EAST COAST? Tropical Storm Bertha is
some 1,350 miles east of the Windward Islands this afternoon. It is
moving west at about 21 mph. There are
increasing indications that the forecasted weakness in the Atlantic
Ridge may not recurve the storm after all. The Canadian takes it to a
point northeast of the island by next Friday. The GFDL follows
basically the same course, just a little faster, taking the system to
near Bermuda by Friday. The GFS puts it north of the islands by
Tuesday night and has it threatening North Carolina briefly before
turning it out to sea. Just what will happen is up in the air for
now, and will be interesting to watch. The storm has held its own
over 25C water, but that will be warming to 28C by Tuesday and
intensification to a hurricane is likely. After that, the amount of
wind shear it encounters will determine the eventual intensity. The
GFDL has it as a Category One hurricane threatening Bermuda.

ON THIS DATE IN 1805: Admiral Robert Fitzroy, the founder of the
first English weather warning system, was born on this date. A sea
captain for many years, Fitzroy knew the importance of weather for
seamen. Fitzroy divided England and Ireland into three districts and
collected weather observations by telegraph. The reports were
received at Lloyds of London. Not the famous insurance company, but a
coffee house where sea captains congregated. He would go on to refine
the system and begin issuing weather forecasts for the newspapers.
His forecasts kicked off a storm of controversy as his critics claimed
that the forecasts did not have scientific merit. All of the rules he
had deduced from his extensive observations were compiled into The
Weather Book in 1862.

BIll Murray
bill@integralhospitality.com

ABC 33/40 7 Day Planner: http://cfc.abc3340.com/abc3340/7day.cfm
ABC 33/40 Weather Blog:

http://www.alabamawx.com
Weather Party: http://www.weatherparty.com

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TONIGHT
Partly sunny. A chance of showers and storms. Some could be heavy.
Overnight Low 71
WIND: SW 5-10

SUNDAY
Mix of sun and clouds. More showers and storms.
Morning Low 69 Afternoon High 90
WIND: SW 5-10

MONDAY
Partly cloudy. Scattered afternoon and evening storms.
Morning Low 70 Afternoon High 91
WIND: SW 5-10

TUESDAY
Hot, hazy and humid with scattered PM storms.
Morning Low 71 Afternoon High 92
WIND: SW 5-10

WEDNESDAY
Partly sunny. Scattered afternoon and evening storms.
Morning Low 70 Afternoon High 91
WIND: SW 5-10

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Tonight on ABC 33/40:

6:00pm ABC3340 News
6:30pm Wheel of Fortune
7:00pm Confessions of a Teenaged Drama Queen
10:00pm ABC 33/40 News
10:35pm Law and Order, SVU

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