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Saturday, July 12, 2008

ABC 33/40 E-Forecast

ABC 33/40 E-FORECAST
Afternoon Edition For Saturday July 12, 2008
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...Strong Storms On Sunday...

A little tongue of cold air aloft rotating through Alabama this
morning produced enhanced instability this morning and showers fired
before 9 a.m. Some of those grew into storms by late morning over
East Alabama. Showers and storms will develop through the afternoon
over much of Alabama and be fairly widespread. Some of the best
chances will be north of US-82, where the cooler air aloft is
located. Storms will feature frequent lightning and very heavy rain.
Could see some gusty winds with the stronger ones.

TONIGHT AND SUNDAY: The GFS did a very good job last night picking
up on this morning's shower development over the eastern half of the
area. The morning run is portraying the same thing for Sunday late
tonight and Sunday morning. Buying into this solution again, we will
chance for a chance of overnight showers into tomorrow morning. Throw
in an approaching front, and Sunday should feature good rain chances.
Storms on Sunday could be strong, and even severe, with damaging winds
possible. Lightning will be a given with any storms that form, and
prolific rains will dump heavy amounts in short periods.

THE WEEK AHEAD: The models still predict this fairly decent front
for July will make it through the area Sunday night, giving us drier
conditions as we start the week. Only isolated storms should be
around on Monday and Tuesday, becoming scattered into Wednesday and
Thursday. We don't see any big rain chances into next weekend.

BERTHA (1996 VERSION): The B storm in 1996 was also Bertha. It was
around for ten days, making it the longest lived July storm up until
that time. 1996 Bertha made landfall on July 12th at Wrightsville
Beach, North Carolina that year as a category 2 hurricane with top
winds of 105 mph. Bertha's did $270 million in damage and killed 12.

BERTHA (2008) VERSION): This year's Bertha is also an early season
Cape Verde hurricane. Bertha 2008 will be the longest lived July
storm in Atlantic history. By tomorrow, it will have been around for
eleven days, beating 1996 Bertha. This afternoon, Bertha was barely
moving, about 200 miles southeast of Bermuda. The hurricane should
start moving slowly to the north, at less than 5 miles per hour. It
should eventually lift out to the northeast by Monday. A tropical
storm warning is in effect for Bermuda where gusts to tropical storm
force winds may occur through Sunday. High seas and riptides are also
a problem there. Top winds are 85 mph. A weakening trend should
begin by Monday.

ACTIVE PERIOD SEEN IN TROPICS: The models have consistently predicted
the development of a tropical storm in the Atlantic this week that
could be near the northern Lesser Antilles by next weekend. This
could be flowed by another Cape Verde type storm the final week of the
month. Stay tuned.

ON THIS DATE IN 1993: The island of Okushiri in Japan was devastated
by a tsunami created by 7.8 magnitude earthquake in the Sea of Japan.
15-30 foot waves started crashing ashore within minutes after the
tremor occurred, sweeping up people, vehicles and buildings. The
maximum wave would be an astounding 90 feet tall! Everything in the
tsunami's path was obliterated. A total of 239 people died. But the
miracle was that the Japan Meteorological Agency's warning was issued
in a timely and effective manner, and a far greater tragedy was averted.

Bill Murray
bill@integralhospitality.com

ABC 33/40 7 Day Planner: http://cfc.abc3340.com/abc3340/7day.cfm
ABC 33/40 Weather Blog:

http://www.alabamawx.com
Weather Party: http://www.weatherparty.com

=========================================================
2008 Porsche 250 presented by Bradley Arant
July 18-20
Barber Motorsports Park

For tickets, visit http://www.barbermotorsports.com
or call (205) 327-RACE or (800) 240-2300.

The 6th annual Porsche 250 presented by Bradley Arant takes place
July 18-20 as the Grand-Am Rolex Sports Car Series returns to the
Barber Motorsports Park. America's fastest growing sports car series
features sleek Daytona Prototypes and GT cars racing on one of
North America's finest road courses. Grand-Am Road Racing
boasts two strong series - the Rolex Sports Car Series and the
Koni Challenge Series.

Movie and TV actor Patrick Dempsey, star of ABC's "Grey's Anatomy",
returns to race against Grand-Am's best! New for this year, watch the
SunTrust MOTO-ST series make its first appearance at the
Barber Motorsports Park.

Kids 12 and under are admitted free with a paid adult!

Mark your calendars and bring your family out to the beautiful
Barber Motorsports Park July 18-20!

For complete event information, go to http://www.barbermotorsports.com.
=========================================================

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TONIGHT
A fairly good chance of showers and storms this afternoon. Chance of
one overnight.
Overnight Low 73
WIND: NW 5-10

SUNDAY
Partly sunny. A good chance of showers and storms. Heavy rains and
gusty winds possible.
Morning Low 74 Afternoon High 89
WIND: SW/W 6-12

MONDAY
Mostly sunny. Less humidity. Only isolated afternoon and evening
storms. .
Morning Low 67 Afternoon High 89
WIND: N 5-10

TUESDAY
Lots of sun after a fairly comfortable start for July. Only a tiny
chance of a shower or storm.
Morning Low 66 Afternoon High 92
WIND: NE 5-10

WEDNESDAY
Partly cloudy and hot. Chance of an afternoon or evening storm.
Morning Low 70 Afternoon High 93
WIND: SW 5-10

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Tonight on ABC 33/40:

6:00pm ABC3340 News
6:30pm Wheel of Fortune
7:00pm The Princess Diaries 2
10:00pm ABC 33/40 News
10:35pm Law and Order, SVU

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