ABC 33/40 E-Forecast

ABC 33/40 E-FORECAST
Morning Edition For Saturday June 28, 2008
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...Wrapping Up June...

It seems like we were just reviewing the almanac for June
at the beginning of the month. Now the month is nearly gone! What
does the time go?

HEAVY RAIN POSSIBLE: The airmass over Alabama has become
quite moist. Precipitable water values last night measured from the
balloon release at the Shelby County Airport were approaching two
inches. This is quite moist even for Alabama. This means that storms
that form today and especially Sunday could produce some very heavy
rainfall amounts. Showers and storms today will be rather uncommon
and isolated again today, much as yesterday. But the ones that do
form will pack quite a punch with deadly lightning, torrential rains
and gusty winds. Temperatures today should top out in the lower 90s.
It will be warm and muggy overnight, with temperatures struggling to
reach the lower 70s while dewpoints hover near 70. Sunday will see
much better storm chances as a rather unusually strong cool front for
June pushes into Alabama. Numerous storms are expected to develop by
afternoon. Once again, more heavy rain, gusty winds and terrible
lightning.

THE WEEK AHEAD: By Monday morning, the boundary will be
well south of Birmingham. Slightly drier air will limit storm chances
north of the boundary. The lowered humidity will be very evident of
Monday night, when dewpoints will be in the 50s. This will allow the
mercury to drop into the lower 60s by Tuesday morning, making for some
quite comfortable conditions for late June. Tuesday should be dry,
and only isolated storms will form on Wednesday. In fact, mostly dry
conditions should prevail until Friday and Saturday, when moisture
levels will be on the rise.

NEBRASKA HEAT BURST: Early Thursday morning, a heat
burst struck the town of Cozad, Nebraska. Temperatures rose 20
degrees as winds gusted to 75 mph. This unusual weather phenomenon
occurs at night in association with a dying thunderstorm. The theory
is that virga, or evaporating rainfall, falls into a layer of air,
making it more dense. A large parcel of air descends rapidly, heating
by compression and drying as it descends. This can become a powerful
downburst that can produce winds of up to 100 mph. Temperatures jump
nearly instantaneously. There have already been three documented heat
bursts this year, including one at Empproa, Kansas on May 25th that
saw temperature jump from 71F to 91F in 27 minutes.

At Midland, Texas on June 16th, the temperature rose from 81F to 97F
in minutes. Winds of 62 mph were measured, and the observation was
not taken near the core of the downburst, where winds of 80-100 mph
were estimated to occur.

ON THIS DATE IN 1975: "If you are caught on a golf
course during a storm and are afraid of lightning, hold up a 1-iron.
Not even God can hit a 1-iron," is the famous quote attributed to. Lee
Trevino. Lee must not have been following his own advice as he and
two other golfers were struck by lightning at the Western Open golf
tournament at Oak Brook, Illinois.

Bill Murray
bill@integralhospitality.com

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TODAY
Warm and humid; a chance of an afternoon storm.
Afternoon High 92
WIND: SW 6-12

SUNDAY
Thunderstorms becoming likely. Heavy rainfall possible.
Morning Low 72 Afternoon High 86
WIND: SW 7-14

MONDAY
Partly sunny. Showers should stay south of Birmingham.
Morning Low 66 Afternoon High 88
WIND: N 6-12

TUESDAY
A good supply of sunshine. Less humid with a pleasant morning.
Morning Low 62 Afternoon High 89
WIND: NE 5-10

WEDNESDAY
Partly sunny. An outside chance of an afternoon shower.
Morning Low 68 Afternoon High 90
WIND: S 6-12

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