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Thursday, March 27, 2008

ABC 33/40 E-Forecast

ABC 33/40 E-FORECAST
Afternoon Edition For Thursday March 27, 2008

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SHOWERS ENTERING THE PICTURE: The forecast for the next two or three
days is not an easy one, but we invite you to check the day-by-day
forecast for the details. The reason it is not easy is that a cold
front is expected to push down into North Alabama and it is difficult
to say where it will eventually stop and head back north. It probably
will not even reach Birmingham. We think it will be in the vicinity of
Cullman at some point later Saturday. That will still give Central
Alabama the best chance of getting some scattered showers and
thunderstorms Saturday, especially during the afternoon, but we will
see some widely scattered ones Friday afternoon and Friday night. We
may have a few lingering showers on Sunday, but Monday looks dry. As
slightly cooler air pushes in from the east, our high on Sunday should
back off to the upper 60s, otherwise look for low to mid 70s. Beyond
the weekend, it looks like a much better chance for showers and
thunderstorms about next Tuesday.

TRAGIC DAY IN OUR PAST: On this day in 1994 on a Palm Sunday, 42
people died and 320 were injured in an outbreak of tornadoes in the
Southeast. This included 26 tornadoes in Alabama, Georgia and the
Carolinas. The main tragedy in Alabama was the Goshen United Methodist
Church when a tornado struck during the morning worship and 20 people
died in the church including the daughter of the pastor.

THE DROUGHT STORY: For the first time in quite a while, there is no
longer a D4 drought category (Exceptional Drought) in Alabama, but 78%
of the state is still under a drought designation, including 33%
described as Extreme Drought. Chris Howard, with the Alabama
Department of Environmental Management in Montgomery, sent us a 15-
year study of Montgomery rain amounts. This covered 1993 through 2007
and only two of those years were wetter than normal. The total rain
deficit for that 15 years was 112.80 inches—over 9 feet of lost rain.
That is almost a two-year supply.

ROAMING FAR AND WIDE: We are concerned about expected rain amounts
from NW Louisiana and Arkansas up the Ohio Valley of 3 to 4 inches in
the next 5 days…all of that has to go down the Ohio and Mississippi
Rivers…cold spots this morning, 6 below at Embarrass, Minnesota and 31
below at Nuiqsut, Alaska…wind chill 50 below over North Alaska…I would
have to wear a light coat…still blows my smaller than average mind
that if you overlayed Alaska on the lower 48, it would stretch all the
way from just south of San Francisco to Jacksonville, Florida…overall,
this past winter was the coolest for the lower 48 since 2001…the
Northeast had its fifth wettest winter on record.

MY TINY CORNER OF THE WORLD: A nice e-mail from Moundville yesterday
refreshing my memory that one year in the life of a dog is equal to 7
human years. That means my Little Miss Molly is about 38 years old.
Maybe that is why she slept until 10:30 this morning. However, I sure
cannot tell any difference in her energy level. She would put the
Energizer bunny to shame. Also, a note from Hoover about a gentleman
losing his closest friend, his dog. I will mention that later after I
get permission from him. Life goes on.......

J.B. Elliott
jb.elliott@theweathercompany.com

ABC 33/40 7 Day Planner: http://cfc.abc3340.com/abc3340/7day.cfm
ABC 33/40 Weather Blog:

http://www.alabamawx.com

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TONIGHT
Variable cloudiness and mild.
Overnight Low 58
WIND: S 5-10

FRIDAY
Breezy and mild. A mix of clouds and sun; widely scattered showers and
maybe a thunderstorm afternoon and night.
Morning Low 58 Afternoon High 77
WIND: SW 8-16

SATURDAY
Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers and thunderstorms. Best chance
afternoon.
Morning Low 56 Afternoon High 72
WIND: SE 6-12

SUNDAY
Mostly cloudy. A slight chance of showers.
Morning Low 55 Afternoon High 69
WIND: SE 8-16

MONDAY
Partly sunny.
Morning Low 54 Afternoon High 72
WIND: S 8-16

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