ABC 33/40 E-Forecast

ABC 33/40 E-FORECAST
Morning Edition For Friday February 15, 2008
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...Severe Storms Possible Sunday...

ACTIVE WEATHER RETURNS ON SUNDAY: Alabama's warming trend continues
today; we expect a high this afternoon in the low 60s with some
sunshine through scattered to broken clouds. Clouds will thicken a bit
tonight as a weak surface front moves through Alabama. At this point
we don't expect any significant rain with the front due to the lack of
moisture and dynamics. Temperatures tomorrow will be only a few
degrees cooler behind the front, and most folks probably won't notice
the difference. Our forecast tomorrow will feature a mix of sun and
clouds with a high in the upper 50s. Most of Alabama will be dry
tomorrow.

To the west, a major storm system will move slowly through the
Southwest U.S. today, producing heavy snow for the southern Rockies.
That disturbance will move into Texas tomorrow, and will ultimately
impact Alabama's weather in a big way on Sunday. A few showers might
show up tomorrow night as the surface front moves northward across the
state as a warm front, but the main round of showers and storms will
come Sunday afternoon as the main upper trough approaches from the west.

Based on the strength of the upper trough and the associated wind
fields, we will mention a chance of strong to severe thunderstorms in
the general period from 12:00 noon through 9:00 p.m. Sunday. The key
to the severe weather risk will be the instability; for now it looks
like the most favorable instability axis over Alabama will be along
and south of I-20 (a line from Tuscaloosa to Birmingham to Anniston).
However, we can't rule out a chance of severe storms all the way to
the Tennessee border. Damaging straight line winds will be possible,
and helicity values suggest a few isolated tornadoes could form as
well. On the positive side, we expect average rain amounts of one
inch, with some spots possibly getting more.

ANOTHER COLD AIR SHOT: Following the storms on Sunday, another blast
of very cold air moves into Alabama on Monday. We will have a hard
time getting out of the 30s Monday, and a few morning snow flurries
are possible, Then, a hard freeze is likely by daybreak Tuesday with a
clear sky and light wind.

ROAMING FAR AND WIDE: The coldest places in the nation yesterday were
Atqasuk and Wainwright, Alaska with 34 below zero. The coldest places
in the lower 48 were Flag Island and Warroad, Minnesota with -20.
Montello, Wisconsin measured 13 inches of new snow yesterday. Warmest
spot in the nation yesterday afternoon was Laredo, Texas with 88
degrees.

STORM ALERT 2008: The next stop on the Storm Alert 2008 tour is Clay
County… we will be at Lineville High School next Thursday night
(February 21) at 7:00; the doors open at 5:00. Make plans now to come
early and bring the whole family; we will have some amazing Alabama
weather stories and some great prizes to give away!

James Spann
jspann@abc3340.com

ABC 33/40 7 Day Planner: http://cfc.abc3340.com/abc3340/7day.cfm
ABC 33/40 Weather Blog:

http://www.alabamawx.com
Weather Party: http://www.weatherparty.com

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TODAY
Partly sunny.
Afternoon High 62
WIND: SW 5-10

SATURDAY
A mix of sun and clouds.
Morning Low 42 Afternoon High 59
WIND: E 5-10

SUNDAY
Mild and windy with showers and thunderstorms by afternoon. Severe
storms are possible.
Morning Low 53 Afternoon High 66
WIND: S 15-30

MONDAY
Windy and much colder. A few morning flurries.
Morning Low 32 Afternoon High 40
WIND: NW 12-22

TUESDAY
Sunny with a very cold morning.
Morning Low 22 Afternoon High 54
WIND: E 5-10

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Tonight on ABC 33/40:

6:00pm ABC 33/40 News
6:30pm Wheel of Fortune
7:00pm Grey's Anatomy
8:00pm Desperate
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