ABC 33/40 E-Forecast

ABC 33/40 E-FORECAST
Morning Edition For Saturday February 2, 2008
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...Six More Weeks Of Winter...

HAPPY CANDLEMAS DAY: February 2nd is Candlemas Day. It is a
Catholic Festival that celebrates the presentation of Christ in the
temple or the Feast of the Purification of Mary. In the days before
the ABC 3340 website, and NOAA Weather Radio and The Weather Channel,
farmers relied on weather lore to help them make sense of the
atmosphere. This feast fell in the middle of the dead of winter. But
it also was about the time that many animals ended their annual
hibernation. So, a significant piece of weather folklore developed
around this date. But not many people know why a groundhog seeing its
shadow could signify six more weeks of winter. The actual basis of
the folklore is rooted in meteorology, to a degree. Farmers knew that
their crops needed a long, steady winter. A good snowcover was a
bonus. A good winter was followed by a slow thaw. But, a midwinter
warm spell could spell big trouble if crops thawed, followed by a
damaging refreeze. If the animal waking from its deep slumber was
blinded by sun and ran back into its den, that meant it was bright and
sunny, a sign of a dangerous warm spell. That was the last thing a
farmer wanted to see.

CHANGEABLE PATTERN: Birmingham Bill, our local groundhog, did see
his shadow when he emerged from his den at our zoo this morning. The
folklore is right. It is an active weather pattern. One that could
be a problem later for crops if it continues. We know that the put a
lot more faith in real science today, but it is fun to consider. And
knowing the basis of such signs does help us all understand the
atmosphere a little better. That active weather pattern will be with
us for the foreseeable future. Today will be partly cloudy and milder
with a high around 60. Look for a low near 40 tonight. Tomorrow will
feature increasing clouds as Gulf moisture increases on southerly
winds. There could be a few showers, but the chance is small. Monday
looks like a mild and breezy day with a chance of showers and storms
as a big trough approaches.

SEVERE WEATHER TUESDAY: By Tuesday morning, low pressure will be
north of Memphis. Alabama will be in the warm sector of the cyclone,
settings the stage for severe weather. With two days of the Gulf
being open for business, there will certainly be plenty of warm, moist
air in place. So, it looks like instability levels will be rather
high. There will be ample wind shear in place for rotating
thunderstorms, so it is a situation that will have to be watched
carefully. It is too early to define a specific threat or time frame,
but suffice to say Tuesday and Tuesday evening will be a time of
concern.

REST OF THE WEEK: Some wrap around moisture may hang around on
Wednesday, resulting in slow clearing and perhaps some light rain
during the day. By
Thursday morning, low temperatures will be around freezing. High
pressure will result in fair and seasonable conditions into the
weekend. Our next rain system will wait until the following Tuesday.

ON THIS DATE IN 1952: The only tropical storm in recorded history to
hit the U.S. in February crossed southern Florida from the Gulf of
Mexico. Winds gusted to 60 mph and 2-4 inches of rain fell.

Bill Murray
bill@integralhospitality.com

ABC 33/40 7 Day Planner: http://cfc.abc3340.com/abc3340/7day.cfm
ABC 33/40 Weather Blog:

http://www.alabamawx.com
Weather Party: http://www.weatherparty.com

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TODAY
A mix of clouds and sun.
Afternoon High 62
WIND: SW 6-12

SUNDAY
Mostly cloudy with a chance of a shower.
Morning Low 40 Afternoon High 64
WIND: SE 7-14

MONDAY
Windy and mild. A good chance of showers and storms.
Morning Low 54 Afternoon High 71
WIND: S 12-25

TUESDAY
Windy with showers and storms. Some may be severe.
Morning Low 57 Afternoon High 72
WIND: SW 15-30

WEDNESDAY
Mostly cloudy and colder with a little light rain.
Morning Low 44 Afternoon High 49
WIND: NW 10-18

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Tonight on ABC 33/40:

6:00pm ABC3340 News
6:30pm Wheel of Fortune
7:00pm War of the Worlds
10:00pm ABC 33/40 News
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