ABC 33/40 E-Forecast

ABC 33/40 E-FORECAST
Afternoon Edition For Saturday January 5, 2008
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...Warmer Weather...

Quite a range in temperatures across Alabama overnight. There was a
12 degree range in temperature across Central Alabama from 27F at
Anniston to 39F at Tuscaloosa. Readings will be in the middle 50s
this afternoon. Moisture levels are increasing quickly and with
dewpoints climbing through the 40s overnight, lows by morning will
barely drop below 50 degrees, if at all. Tomorrow promises to be a
mild, almost springlike day with temperatures in the 60s by
afternoon. Then Monday will seem positively springlike, with highs
topping out near 70 or a little higher. There could be a shower
overnight tonight as a disturbance passes by, but any rainfall amounts
will be very light. Showers are also possible on Monday, but things
should remain mostly dry until our next storm system arrives on Tuesday.

STRONG STORMS TUESDAY/WEDNESDAY: The powerful storm system that is
plaguing the West right now with flooding rains, heavy snows and high
winds will send a strong upper level disturbance our way on Tuesday.
This disturbance will push an area of rain and thunderstorms towards
Alabama Tuesday night. The question of the potential for strong to
severe thunderstorms has arisen. The big issue will be instability.
Will the moisture levels get high enough to support robust
thunderstorms? The shear will be there. It even will be impressive.
But the instability looks doubtful. So while we will call for strong
storms, significant severe weather does not look likely. Still, it is
a developing situation and one we will keep our eyes on.

POST FRONT: The airmass behind this system will be of
Pacific origin, so relatively mild temperatures will follow the
storms. But a longwave trough will begin to take shape over us by
late in the week and the cool down will begin. It looks like another
overrunning rain event sets up for Thursday, hopefully bringing some
decent rains to our area. The morning GFS shows another low for
Saturday. With colder air in place, it could get interesting, but no
big problems foreseen yet. Another big wet weather system comes in
around the 16th, we hope.

WEATHER FOLKLORE: The Spanish have a bit of interesting
weather folklore. They believe that the weather on the first twelve
days of January foretells the weather for the twelve months of the
coming year. For example, if January 1st dawns cool and clear, then
warms up during the day, then it rains that night, January will start
off cool and clear, warm up at mid-month and be rainy toward the end
of the month. The period is called the Cabanuelas, from the Spanish
word cabana or small cabin. The twelve cabanas house the weather.

ON THIS DATE IN 1982: This week's storm on the West
Coast has been a doozy. But an even bigger storm occurred during this
period back in 1982. Up to 25 inches of rain fell in a three day
rainstorm in the San Francisco area (3rd-5th). Snow accumulations of
up to 8 feet in depth fell in the Sierra-Nevada Mountains. A total of
thirty six people were killed and there was more than $300 million in
damage.

Bill Murray
bill@integralhospitality.com

ABC 33/40 7 Day Planner: http://abc3340.com/weather/7day.hrb
ABC 33/40 Weather Blog: http://www.alabamawx.com

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TONIGHT
Mostly cloudy. Milder. Maybe a shower, especially northwest.
Overnight Low 38
WIND: SE 7-14

SUNDAY
Morning cloudiness gives way to partly cloudy skies.
Morning Low 49 Afternoon High 64
WIND: S 7-14

MONDAY
A mix of clouds and sun. A slight chance of a shower.
Morning Low 56 Afternoon High 72
WIND: SW 7-14

TUESDAY
Mostly cloudy and mild. Showers and thunderstorms becoming likely.
Morning Low 55 Afternoon High 69
WIND: SW 8-16

WEDNESDAY
Clearing skies.
Morning Low 46 Afternoon High 63
WIND: NW 6-12

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