ABC 33/40 E-Forecast

ABC 33/40 E-FORECAST
Morning Edition For Thursday December 20, 2007
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...A Good Rain Event For Alabama Today...

TWO BIG RAIN EVENTS AHEAD: A strong short wave in the upper
atmosphere, and will swing across Alabama with periods of rain and a
few thunderstorms this afternoon and tonight. The computer has been a
little more aggressive with expected rain with this system, and
accordingly we will forecast most Alabama communities to see anywhere
from one-half to one inch. A few thunderstorms are possible as well,
but a major problem with severe weather is not expected. The greatest
chance of strong to severe storms will come over far Southwest Alabama
over Baldwin and Mobile counties.

We will be in-between weather systems tomorrow, so the sky should
become partly sunny with a high up in the mid 60s, well above the
average high of 58 for December 21.

ANOTHER RAINMAKER OVER THE WEEKEND: A vigorous upper air system will
move in our direction, and bring another generous round of rain and
thunderstorms to the state by Saturday night and Sunday morning. The
computer models have trended slower with the weekend system, so it now
looks like the best chance of rain will come from around 12:00
midnight Saturday night to 12:00 noon Sunday. Like the system
tomorrow, rain amounts of one-half to inch are expected over the
weekend, and the best chance of severe weather will remain over the
far southern part of Alabama.

MODEL MADNESS DURING CHRISTMAS WEEK: Looks like the original idea of
dry and cold weather for Christmas Eve and Christmas day has flown out
the window. Global models are now showing another strong upper air
wave moving through Alabama early next week, and it looks like this
will have the potential to bring rain to our state Monday night and
Tuesday. Santa could very well need an umbrella this year here across
the Deep South. Later in the week, another rain producing system is
seen around December 28-29. In this active wave train pattern, it is
very hard to models to resolve any specific weather event beyond seven
days.

ON THIS DATE IN 1996: Record cold in Florida. Record cold afternoon
high temperatures were set at Miami with 55 degrees and 58 degrees at
Key West. The temperature struggled to reach 44 degrees at Tampa,
shattering the minimum record high temperature for the date, and
coming close to the all-time coolest high temperature for the Tampa
area of 38, set on Christmas day in 1983.

ACROSS THE FROZEN TUNDRA: Big time cold air is building over Alaska.
Yesterday's low in the nation was a frigid 51 degrees below zero at
Huslia, Alaska. The
high at Bettles was 38 degrees below zero, which followed a morning
low of 43 below. Rain was widespread across California yesterday;
totals included 1.16" at Los Angeles and 1.13" at Fresno.

James Spann
jspann@abc3340.com

ABC 33/40 7 Day Planner: http://abc3340.com/weather/7day.hrb
ABC 33/40 Weather Blog: http://www.alabamawx.com

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TODAY
Cloudy with a good chance of rain at times, and possibly a
thunderstorm, mainly this afternoon and tonight.
Afternoon High 61
WIND: S 6-12

FRIDAY
Partly sunny and mild.
Morning Low 47 Afternoon High 67
WIND: SE 6-12

SATURDAY
Increasing clouds, mild, and breezy. A shower possible Saturday
afternoon; rain and storms more likely Saturday night.
Morning Low 51 Afternoon High 69
WIND: W 6-12

SUNDAY
Rain ending during the morning. Breezy and colder with temperatures
falling into the 40s.
Morning Low 45 Afternoon High 58
WIND: SW 8-16

MONDAY
Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain.
Morning Low 44 Afternoon High 53
WIND: NW 12-22

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